天天财经

【袁志峰专栏】中国7月经济数据逊预期

2026-09-11 03:06:13 网络 阅读(71)

今日推介 - 中国联通(762, $6.33), 目标价$7.0, 止损价$6.0

【袁志峰专栏】中国7月经济数据逊预期

1) 股市前景

港股连跌4日后,周一反弹,成交减少及偏低,南向资金转净买入。预期港股短线整固,恒指于25000至26000点之间窄幅上落。

2) 上日中港股市况总结

周一恒指高开187点,已是全日低位,随后辗转上扬,午后最多曾涨461点,尾市回软,收报25453点,升336点或1.3%。成交额按日减17%至2108亿元,7月份日均成交额3072亿元。

港股通南向资金转净买入约31亿元。中芯国际(981)、智谱(2513)及腾讯(700)录得17.7、16.7及5.3亿元净买入。华虹宏力(1347)、建滔积层板(1888)及长飞光纤(6869)录得7.8、4.4及4.2亿元净卖出。8月以来累积净买入约131亿元。7月净买入约629亿元。

恒指升1.3%,成份股68升24跌1持平。东方海外(316)、中芯国际(981)及老铺黄金(6181)涨逾7%、6%及5%,为升幅最大蓝筹。吉利汽车(175)、中国铝业(2600、中国人寿(2628)及友邦保险(1299)涨逾4%。紫金矿业(2899)、洛阳钼业(3993)、新东方(9901)及药明康德(2359)涨逾3%。中国宏桥(1378)、金沙中国(1928)、药明生物(2269)、信义玻璃(868)及长实集团(1113)升逾2%。汇丰(5)、建设银行(939)及中国银行(3988)升逾1%。联想(992)、海底捞(6862)、港铁(66)及京东物流(2618)跌逾1%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。

恒生科指升1.6%,收报4782点,成份股23升7跌。大型科技股普涨,阿里(9988)、腾讯(700)及小米(1810)升逾1%,京东(9618)升逾2%。商汤(20)涨逾8%,为升幅最大成份股。华虹宏力(1347)及中芯国际(981)涨逾7%及6%。零跑汽车(9863)涨逾4%。蔚来(9866、小鹏集团(9868)、理想汽车(2015)、比亚迪(1211)、腾讯音乐(1698)及比亚迪电子(285)升逾2%。智谱(2513)跌逾5%,为跌幅最大成份股。联想(992)及海尔智家(6690)跌逾1%。

板块方面,晶片、航运、电动车、矿产、黄金股跑赢大市,涨幅居前。华虹宏力(1347)及中芯国际(981)涨逾7%及6%。东方海外(316)及中远海控(1919)升逾7%及6%。吉利汽车(175)及零跑汽车(9863)升逾4%。五矿资源(1208)及中国铝业(2600)升逾7%及4%,洛阳钼业(3993)及江西铜业(358)升逾3%。紫金矿业(2899)、招金矿业(1818)及山东黄金(1787)升逾3%。

周一上证指数平开,随后稳步上行至收盘,以接近全日高位收市,收报3982.65点,升1.4%。深证成指升2.4%。科创50指数升4.1%。沪深两市总成交约23900亿元(人民币·下同),环比增约2500亿元,7月份日均成交额约26800亿元。

3) 宏观/行业讯息

中国7月工业增加值、零售及固定资产投资数据全逊预期。国家统计局公布,7月份,全国规模以上工业增加值按年增长4.5%,逊于市场预期增长5%。社会消费品零售总额3.9万亿元(人民币‧下同),按年升0.6%,逊于市场预期升1.5%。首7月,全国固定资产投资26.03万亿元,按年下跌6.7%,逊于市场预期跌6.2%。(信报)

国家统计局公布,今年首7个月,新建商品房销售额4.27万亿元人民币,按年下降13.1%。期内,新建商品房销售面积4.5亿平方米,按年下降11.8%。(信报)

4) 个股讯息

吉利汽车(175)公布,截至6月底止中期股东应占溢利90.91亿元(人民币.下同),按年减少1.8%。核心利润96.84亿元,按年增长46%。期内,收益1736亿元,按年增长14.7%。(信报)

彭博引述内部备忘录报道,阿里巴巴(9988)以至少15亿美元出售其游戏业务「灵犀互娱」予亚洲私募股权公司信宸资本,以进一步推动公司向人工智能(AI)领域转型。(信报)

有关选股表现,欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合: www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model

https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK

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    "description": "今日推介 - 中国联通(762, $6.33), 目标价$7.0, 止损价$6.0",
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    "content": "<p>今日推介 - 中国联通(762, $6.33), 目标价$7.0, 止损价$6.0</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6579720/l/fadb1db58fe0ba706de796d24c1aea74.jpg\" alt=\"【袁志峰专栏】中国7月经济数据逊预期\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>1) 股市前景</p>\n\n<p>港股连跌4日后,周一反弹,成交减少及偏低,南向资金转净买入。预期港股短线整固,恒指于25000至26000点之间窄幅上落。</p>\n\n<p>2) 上日中港股市况总结</p>\n\n<p>周一恒指高开187点,已是全日低位,随后辗转上扬,午后最多曾涨461点,尾市回软,收报25453点,升336点或1.3%。成交额按日减17%至2108亿元,7月份日均成交额3072亿元。</p>\n\n<p>港股通南向资金转净买入约31亿元。中芯国际(981)、智谱(2513)及腾讯(700)录得17.7、16.7及5.3亿元净买入。华虹宏力(1347)、建滔积层板(1888)及长飞光纤(6869)录得7.8、4.4及4.2亿元净卖出。8月以来累积净买入约131亿元。7月净买入约629亿元。</p>\n\n<p>恒指升1.3%,成份股68升24跌1持平。东方海外(316)、中芯国际(981)及老铺黄金(6181)涨逾7%、6%及5%,为升幅最大蓝筹。吉利汽车(175)、中国铝业(2600、中国人寿(2628)及友邦保险(1299)涨逾4%。紫金矿业(2899)、洛阳钼业(3993)、新东方(9901)及药明康德(2359)涨逾3%。中国宏桥(1378)、金沙中国(1928)、药明生物(2269)、信义玻璃(868)及长实集团(1113)升逾2%。汇丰(5)、建设银行(939)及中国银行(3988)升逾1%。联想(992)、海底捞(6862)、港铁(66)及京东物流(2618)跌逾1%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。</p>\n\n<p>恒生科指升1.6%,收报4782点,成份股23升7跌。大型科技股普涨,阿里(9988)、腾讯(700)及小米(1810)升逾1%,京东(9618)升逾2%。商汤(20)涨逾8%,为升幅最大成份股。华虹宏力(1347)及中芯国际(981)涨逾7%及6%。零跑汽车(9863)涨逾4%。蔚来(9866、小鹏集团(9868)、理想汽车(2015)、比亚迪(1211)、腾讯音乐(1698)及比亚迪电子(285)升逾2%。智谱(2513)跌逾5%,为跌幅最大成份股。联想(992)及海尔智家(6690)跌逾1%。</p>\n\n<p>板块方面,晶片、航运、电动车、矿产、黄金股跑赢大市,涨幅居前。华虹宏力(1347)及中芯国际(981)涨逾7%及6%。东方海外(316)及中远海控(1919)升逾7%及6%。吉利汽车(175)及零跑汽车(9863)升逾4%。五矿资源(1208)及中国铝业(2600)升逾7%及4%,洛阳钼业(3993)及江西铜业(358)升逾3%。紫金矿业(2899)、招金矿业(1818)及山东黄金(1787)升逾3%。</p>\n\n<p>周一上证指数平开,随后稳步上行至收盘,以接近全日高位收市,收报3982.65点,升1.4%。深证成指升2.4%。科创50指数升4.1%。沪深两市总成交约23900亿元(人民币&middot;下同),环比增约2500亿元,7月份日均成交额约26800亿元。</p>\n\n<p>3)  宏观/行业讯息</p>\n\n<p>中国7月工业增加值、零售及固定资产投资数据全逊预期。国家统计局公布,7月份,全国规模以上工业增加值按年增长4.5%,逊于市场预期增长5%。社会消费品零售总额3.9万亿元(人民币‧下同),按年升0.6%,逊于市场预期升1.5%。首7月,全国固定资产投资26.03万亿元,按年下跌6.7%,逊于市场预期跌6.2%。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>国家统计局公布,今年首7个月,新建商品房销售额4.27万亿元人民币,按年下降13.1%。期内,新建商品房销售面积4.5亿平方米,按年下降11.8%。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>4)  个股讯息</p>\n\n<p>吉利汽车(175)公布,截至6月底止中期股东应占溢利90.91亿元(人民币.下同),按年减少1.8%。核心利润96.84亿元,按年增长46%。期内,收益1736亿元,按年增长14.7%。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>彭博引述内部备忘录报道,阿里巴巴(9988)以至少15亿美元出售其游戏业务「灵犀互娱」予亚洲私募股权公司信宸资本,以进一步推动公司向人工智能(AI)领域转型。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>有关选股表现,欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合: <a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"0\" data-outlook-id=\"a071582a-828d-4cfe-bf88-204115703341\" href=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\" id=\"x_ms-outlook-mobile-sharing-link-anchor-7f60a2bf-f86c-4ab8-ba34-c55434c979d5\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\">www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model</a></p>\n\n<p><a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"1\" data-outlook-id=\"1d8d7948-ec8b-4f00-8ee2-b5029aa4274b\" href=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\">https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK</a> </p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-931.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-506.51点至24821.72点,跌幅2%\">盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-506.51点至24821.72点,跌幅2%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-5593.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数上涨153.01点至4660.05点,涨幅3.39%\">盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数上涨153.01点至4660.05点,涨幅3.39%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-7129.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-558.9点至24449.7点,跌幅2.23%\">盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-558.9点至24449.7点,跌幅2.23%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-2192.html\" title=\"〈港股盘后〉科网与半导体强势 恒指涨0.5% 溜溜梅上市首日暴涨逾193%\">〈港股盘后〉科网与半导体强势 恒指涨0.5% 溜溜梅上市首日暴涨逾193%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-3947.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-460.86点至22616.05点,跌幅2%\">盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-460.86点至22616.05点,跌幅2%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-3939.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-153.69点至4252.23点,跌幅3.49%\">盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-153.69点至4252.23点,跌幅3.49%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-08-17T20:50:02.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-09-10T19:06:13.000Z"
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