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随着SpaceX纳入那斯达克100指数 华尔街巨头齐发买入评级

2026-08-22 00:50:52 钜亨网 阅读(25)

马斯克 (Elon Musk) 旗下的太空探索技术公司 SpaceX(SPCX-US),周二 (7 日) 正式被纳入那斯达克 100 指数 (Nasdaq 100)。距离这家公司于 6 月 12 日首次公开募股 (IPO) 仅过去 15 天,成为史上入选该指数最快的公司之一,主要得益于那斯达克对新上市大盘股入选规则的修订。

随着SpaceX纳入那斯达克100指数 华尔街巨头齐发买入评级

SpaceX 的纳入预计将引发数十亿美元的被动买盘,因为追踪那斯达克 100 指数的基金 (如 Invesco QQQ) 必须调整持仓以匹配新成分股。摩根大通估计,此举将吸引约 43 亿美元的被动资金流入。分析师 Rob Du Boff 指出,结合先前纳入富时罗素 (FTSE Russell) 指数的影响,总被动买入需求可能超过 54 亿美元。

目前 SpaceX 市值达 2.1 兆美元,位居美国第六大公司,马斯克也借此成为全球首位上兆富翁 (Trillionaire)。

随着承销银行分析师的禁言期结束,包括摩根士丹利、高盛及瑞银 (UBS) 在内的多家机构纷纷启动追踪,并形成显著的「买入」共识。

摩根士丹利:设定了全美最高目标价 300 美元,较 7 月 7 日收盘价 160.42 美元有约 87% 的上涨空间。分析师将 SpaceX 誉为「AI 的最终疆界」,认为其能将能源转换为智能,并透过消费者与企业解决方案实现商业化。该行预测 SpaceX 营收在 2030 年将达 3190 亿美元,2040 年更将喷发至 3.3 兆美元。

高盛与其他机构:高盛认为 SpaceX 在太空连接与 AI 领域拥有差异化优势。Arete Research 甚至给出了更激进的 401 美元目标价。

SpaceX 转型为超大规模 AI 基础设施供应商,利用其现金流支持 AI 模型 (如 Grok) 的开发。此外,「星舰」(Starship) 被视为推动公司长期野心的「飞轮」,其全重复使用设计是成功的关键。

然而,市场并非全然乐观。CFRA 是目前唯一给予「卖出」评级的机构,理由是公司估值过于依赖未经证实的倡议 (如 xAI 与星舰),且面临高资本密集度及长期利润不透明的风险。晨星 (Morningstar) 则因 AI 业务的不确定性,将其估值定于较保守的 7800 亿美元。

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