第三季最强四大天王曝光！下一波飙股就在这？

最近很多投资人都有同一种心情~~
前几天看到台股短短几个交易日大涨五千点，恨不得把资金全部押进去；但一看到指数回档几百点，又开始怀疑：「行情是不是结束了？是不是又要崩盘？」如果你也是这样，那我要先告诉你一句话：「真正的大多头，从来不是一路直线往上，而是大涨、小回、再创高」。股市真正可怕的，不是回档，而是在回档时，把未来会大涨的股票亲手卖掉。

看懂资金流向，比每天猜涨跌重要一百倍
如果把这一波行情比喻成一场马拉松，前面的五千点只是鸣枪起跑，现在反而才进入真正考验投资人耐心与纪律的阶段。现在的国际资金，正在发生非常微妙且巨大的转变：
第一，美国公债殖利率开始回落。
过去殖利率维持高档时，全球资金更愿意停泊在债券市场，享受相对稳定的收益；但随着殖利率逐步走低，市场开始重新提高对股票等风险性资产的配置意愿。

第二，美元转弱，亚洲货币同步转强，新台币表现相对突出。
汇率变化代表的不只是数字，而是国际资金正在重新配置。当台币升值，通常代表海外资金流入增加，也让外资回补台股的意愿提升。

第三，就是外资买盘重新回到电子股。
近期市场成交量放大，电子权值股重新成为盘面主角，AI 供应链再度扮演领涨核心，代表资金并不是离开市场，而是开始重新集中到真正具有成长性的产业。

钻石在哪里？四大黄金族群精准拆解
既然知道资金正在大举回流，那么在这个黄金交叉点，有哪些具备真金白银获利能力的「钻石」值得我们弯腰去捡？以下我帮大家锁定了四大具备基本面与利基优势的关键族群：

1. AI 供应链：实打实的超级循环
AI 绝非昙花一现的泡沫，而是正在加速回收投资报酬的超级循环，这股大趋势预计会一路延续到 2030 年。

台积电 (2330-TW)：作为全球 AI 晶片的终极推手，其 CoWoS 先进制程产能持续供不应求。受惠于全球云端服务商（CSP）庞大且持续追加的资本支出，台积电获利能见度极高，是多头行情的定海神针。
日月光投控 (3711-TW)：全球半导体封测龙头，更是先进封装（CoWoS 与 Fan-out）不可或缺的枢纽。随着先进封装营收目标迈向翻倍，公司砸重金扩展产能，强势锁定 AI 算力暴增下的庞大封测需求。

2. CPO 矽光子：速度提升 10 倍的传输革命
当 AI 晶片效能剧增，传统铜线传输已达到物理极限，必须改用「矽光子（CPO）」。加上美系客户去中国化转单效应，台湾厂商成为最大赢家。

联亚 (3081-TW)： CPO 光通讯的核心指标。受惠于新一代产品认证通过并进入量产，近期营收相较去年同期呈爆发性成长 1.7 倍，强势拉出多根涨停，成为此波 CPO 行情的领头羊。
华星光 (4979-TW)：作为 CPO 供应链第二波的核心要角，受惠于美系转单效应与产品规格升级。公司在先进封装与光通讯模组领域具备独特利基，下半年营收有望随量产启动而迎来主升段。
泛铨 (6830-TW)： AI 与矽光子晶片研发分析平台霸主。单月营收创历史新高且近九成来自 AI 与矽光子，已获美系晶片大厂设立专区。手握全球光损侦测专利护城河，毛利率朝 30%~40% 回升，今明年业绩将迎来大爆发。

3. 记忆体：利空出尽的评价修复
前阵子记忆体因为融资去杠杆而重挫，但这正好创造了极低的历史本益比。基本面上，CSP 业者为了抢夺 DDR4 产能甚至愿意提供更高报价，第二波评价修复行情才刚开始。

南亚科 (2408-TW)： DRAM 指标大厂。先前股价过度修正使本益比来到历史极低档。随着市况回温及高阶 DDR4、DDR5 报价看涨，公司基本面获利预期获得大幅上修，具备强烈的评价修复弹性。
华邦电 (2344-TW)：受惠于云端与边缘 AI 需求，且具备优异的成本控管能力，展现「三绿三升」的财务底气。在利基型记忆体出货回温下，下半年传统旺季的获利喷发速度值得期待。

4. 散热族群：AI 心脏的冷却守护者
AI 伺服器功耗极高，只要散热跟不上，晶片就会降速甚至烧毁，「没有散热，就没有 AI」是市场铁律。散热指标股近期整理完毕后纷纷大喷出，宣告主升段正式启动。

奇𬭎 (3017-TW)：伺服器散热解决方案的霸主。拥有从 3D VC 到水冷散热的完整技术利基，受惠于 AI 晶片功耗大增，订单能见度直达明年，获利成长极具想像空间。
健策 (3653-TW)：均热片大厂，在先进封装散热组件领域拥有绝对优势。随着 AI 晶片出货爆发，健策底型建构完整并顺利创下新高，彰显其在散热金属件中的无可替代性。
富世达 (6805-TW)：机柜水冷快拆件（QD）与滑轨枢纽王。受惠 GB/LPU 机柜单柜 QD 用量大幅飙升，伺服器营收占比上看六成，2026 年毛利率冲破 30%，EPS 年复合成长率（CAGR）超过 60%，成长动能极为剽悍。

更多产业趋势报告 + 盘中讯息→请加入江江 Line@：

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文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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\n前几天看到台股短短几个交易日大涨五千点，恨不得把资金全部押进去；但一看到指数回档几百点，又开始怀疑：「行情是不是结束了？是不是又要崩盘？」如果你也是这样，那我要先告诉你一句话：「真正的大多头，从来不是一路直线往上，而是大涨、小回、再创高」。股市真正可怕的，不是回档，而是在回档时，把未来会大涨的股票亲手卖掉。\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6563974/l/f1016244deca0f2242420f230de8ba5e.jpg\" alt=\"第三季最强四大天王曝光！下一波飙股就在这？\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n看懂资金流向，比每天猜涨跌重要一百倍 \n如果把这一波行情比喻成一场马拉松，前面的五千点只是鸣枪起跑，现在反而才进入真正考验投资人耐心与纪律的阶段。现在的国际资金，正在发生非常微妙且巨大的转变： \n第一，美国公债殖利率开始回落。 \n过去殖利率维持高档时，全球资金更愿意停泊在债券市场，享受相对稳定的收益；但随着殖利率逐步走低，市场开始重新提高对股票等风险性资产的配置意愿。\n\n第二，美元转弱，亚洲货币同步转强，新台币表现相对突出。 \n汇率变化代表的不只是数字，而是国际资金正在重新配置。当台币升值，通常代表海外资金流入增加，也让外资回补台股的意愿提升。\n\n第三，就是外资买盘重新回到电子股。 \n近期市场成交量放大，电子权值股重新成为盘面主角，AI 供应链再度扮演领涨核心，代表资金并不是离开市场，而是开始重新集中到真正具有成长性的产业。\n\n钻石在哪里？四大黄金族群精准拆解 \n既然知道资金正在大举回流，那么在这个黄金交叉点，有哪些具备真金白银获利能力的「钻石」值得我们弯腰去捡？以下我帮大家锁定了四大具备基本面与利基优势的关键族群：\n\n1. AI 供应链：实打实的超级循环 \nAI 绝非昙花一现的泡沫，而是正在加速回收投资报酬的超级循环，这股大趋势预计会一路延续到 2030 年。\n\n<ul>\n<li>台积电 (2330-TW)：作为全球 AI 晶片的终极推手，其 CoWoS 先进制程产能持续供不应求。受惠于全球云端服务商（CSP）庞大且持续追加的资本支出，台积电获利能见度极高，是多头行情的定海神针。</li>\n<li>日月光投控 (3711-TW)：全球半导体封测龙头，更是先进封装（CoWoS 与 Fan-out）不可或缺的枢纽。随着先进封装营收目标迈向翻倍，公司砸重金扩展产能，强势锁定 AI 算力暴增下的庞大封测需求。 </li>\n</ul>\n\n2. CPO 矽光子：速度提升 10 倍的传输革命 \n当 AI 晶片效能剧增，传统铜线传输已达到物理极限，必须改用「矽光子（CPO）」。加上美系客户去中国化转单效应，台湾厂商成为最大赢家。\n\n<ul>\n<li>联亚 (3081-TW)： CPO 光通讯的核心指标。受惠于新一代产品认证通过并进入量产，近期营收相较去年同期呈爆发性成长 1.7 倍，强势拉出多根涨停，成为此波 CPO 行情的领头羊。</li>\n<li>华星光 (4979-TW)：作为 CPO 供应链第二波的核心要角，受惠于美系转单效应与产品规格升级。公司在先进封装与光通讯模组领域具备独特利基，下半年营收有望随量产启动而迎来主升段。</li>\n<li>泛铨 (6830-TW)： AI 与矽光子晶片研发分析平台霸主。单月营收创历史新高且近九成来自 AI 与矽光子，已获美系晶片大厂设立专区。手握全球光损侦测专利护城河，毛利率朝 30%~40% 回升，今明年业绩将迎来大爆发。 </li>\n</ul>\n\n3. 记忆体：利空出尽的评价修复 \n前阵子记忆体因为融资去杠杆而重挫，但这正好创造了极低的历史本益比。基本面上，CSP 业者为了抢夺 DDR4 产能甚至愿意提供更高报价，第二波评价修复行情才刚开始。\n\n<ul>\n<li>南亚科 (2408-TW)： DRAM 指标大厂。先前股价过度修正使本益比来到历史极低档。随着市况回温及高阶 DDR4、DDR5 报价看涨，公司基本面获利预期获得大幅上修，具备强烈的评价修复弹性。</li>\n<li>华邦电 (2344-TW)：受惠于云端与边缘 AI 需求，且具备优异的成本控管能力，展现「三绿三升」的财务底气。在利基型记忆体出货回温下，下半年传统旺季的获利喷发速度值得期待。</li>\n</ul>\n\n4. 散热族群：AI 心脏的冷却守护者 \nAI 伺服器功耗极高，只要散热跟不上，晶片就会降速甚至烧毁，「没有散热，就没有 AI」是市场铁律。散热指标股近期整理完毕后纷纷大喷出，宣告主升段正式启动。\n\n<ul>\n<li>奇𬭎 (3017-TW)：伺服器散热解决方案的霸主。拥有从 3D VC 到水冷散热的完整技术利基，受惠于 AI 晶片功耗大增，订单能见度直达明年，获利成长极具想像空间。</li>\n<li>健策 (3653-TW)：均热片大厂，在先进封装散热组件领域拥有绝对优势。随着 AI 晶片出货爆发，健策底型建构完整并顺利创下新高，彰显其在散热金属件中的无可替代性。</li>\n<li>富世达 (6805-TW)：机柜水冷快拆件（QD）与滑轨枢纽王。受惠 GB/LPU 机柜单柜 QD 用量大幅飙升，伺服器营收占比上看六成，2026 年毛利率冲破 30%，EPS 年复合成长率（CAGR）超过 60%，成长动能极为剽悍。 </li>\n</ul>\n\n更多产业趋势报告 + 盘中讯息→请加入江江 Line@：\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ\">https://lin.ee/vTaRqlQ</a>\n\n江江每日解盘影片→含金量满满，节目内容太精彩 + 太权威惹！\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/OZDNLx54oPE\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n坚持用心制作优质好节目，一定要看到最后！ \n并且【订阅 + 按赞 + 分享帮助好友】\n\n文章来源：摩尔投顾－江国中分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-10230.html\" title=\"财部出手规范P2P借贷！平台业者承担扣缴责任 PwC解读3大影响\">财部出手规范P2P借贷！平台业者承担扣缴责任 PwC解读3大影响</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14151.html\" title=\"贸联-KY 8月营收88.91亿元年增54%创同期高\">贸联-KY 8月营收88.91亿元年增54%创同期高</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9032.html\" title=\"东擎携手AMD与台智云参展AI WAVE SHOW 2026展示企业AI应用\">东擎携手AMD与台智云参展AI WAVE SHOW 2026展示企业AI应用</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-15431.html\" title=\"蔚华科(3055)迎战玻璃基板浪潮，TSV检测验收成功！TGV概念能否撑起狂飙股价？\">蔚华科(3055)迎战玻璃基板浪潮，TSV检测验收成功！TGV概念能否撑起狂飙股价？</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-6108.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 新代(7750)6月营收26.50亿元年增率高达151.4％\">营收速报 - 新代(7750)6月营收26.50亿元年增率高达151.4％</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-6441.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：儒鸿(1476-TW)EPS预估上修至25.22元，预估目标价为445元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查：儒鸿(1476-TW)EPS预估上修至25.22元，预估目标价为445元</a></li>\n </ul>\n</div>", "status": 0, "pv": 49, "link": "https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/6563974", "createdAt": "2026-08-07T03:03:36.000Z", "updatedAt": "2026-09-11T19:32:13.000Z" }, "position": [ { "id": 15, "pid": 0, "name": "热点新闻", "pinyin": "new", "path": "/new", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "children": [ { "id": 25, "pid": 15, "name": "美股", "pinyin": "mg", "path": "/new/mg", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 26, "pid": 15, "name": "港股", "pinyin": "hk", "path": "/new/hk", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 27, "pid": 15, "name": "台股", "pinyin": "tw", "path": "/new/tw", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, { "id": 28, "pid": 15, "name": "科技", "pinyin": "AI", "path": "/new/AI", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "level": 1 }, { "id": 27, "pid": 15, "name": "台股", "pinyin": "tw", "path": "/new/tw", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 } ], "_locals": {}, "cache": false }

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