【量大强涨股整理】八月底选股策略? 两大方向抢先布局九月大行情?!

【八月底选股策略? 两大方向抢先布局九月大行情】

影片中分享给你知道

（按赞订阅打开小铃铛）

再来看一下今天的台股!

加权指数今日开低走低，终场下跌589.33点，收在44719.35，成交量9584.44亿。

观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超416.39亿元，投信卖超120.90亿元，自营商卖超171.18亿元，三大法人合计卖超708.48亿元，其中，外资、自营商连卖二日、投信则由买转卖。

油价持续攀升，市场重新担忧通膨压力升温，加上美国10年期公债殖利率逼近4.70%，全球债市卖压加重，企业融资成本上升疑虑升温，进一步压抑高估值科技股表现，美股周二四大指数全面收黑，其中费城半导体指数重挫4.98%，半导体族群成为主要杀盘重心，(NVDA-US)辉达，(AMD-US)超微，等AI概念股同步承压，显示市场短线风险偏好明显降温。

受到美股科技股重挫影响，台股今日开盘面临较大卖压，加上受到台指期结算影响，加权指数今日开低走低，不过随着低接买盘逐步进场，跌幅明显收敛，终场下跌589.33点，收在44719.35，成交量9584.44亿，指数回测季线附近后出现反弹，今日收量缩黑K棒，台股虽然收黑K棒，但留下长达410.64点的下影线，代表低档有人承接，月线有撑，目前将是属于震荡格局；展望后市，美债殖利率高档、中东地缘政治风险，以及前波套牢筹码形成的卖压，仍是短线影响台股波动的重要因素，若后续急跌过程中融资余额同步下降，且成交量没有失控放大，反而有助市场消化短线浮额，待卖压逐步沉淀后，指数有机会重新寻找支撑，本周市场焦点则聚焦台指期结算、FED会议纪要，以及机器人与自动化工业展，相关自动化、机器人零组件及AI应用概念股仍有机会成为资金轮动的重要方向。

权值股方面，(2330-TW)台积电，下跌1.26%，收在2350元，持续扩大资本支出，法人预估2027年Capex将由750亿美元上修至800亿美元，2028年维持900亿美元，主要受AI加速器、苹果2奈米晶片及AMD伺服器CPU需求带动，强劲需求也有助台积电持续扩大与英特尔、三星晶圆代工的竞争差距，法人同步上调2026至2028年每股获利预估约8%至15%，维持「优于大盘」评等，随着先进制程产能持续扩充、定价能力提升，加上AI运算供应短缺仍未完全缓解，台积电有望持续受惠AI长期资本支出超级循环；

(2317-TW)鸿海，下跌1.61%，收在245元，鸿海第二季营运表现优于预期，受惠云端网路产品营收占比突破51%，加上营运杠杆及成本控管改善，营益率达3.8%，优于市场预期，EPS为4.24元，法人同步上修2026、2027年EPS预估9%及16%，展望后市，GPU伺服器仍是2027年主要成长动能，AI伺服器营收预估第三季季增双位数，ASIC及网通产品亦逐步放量，CPO交换器预计第三季进入量产，随着AI基础建设需求延续，鸿海2026年资本支出预估年增逾30%，并持续扩充台湾、美国及墨西哥产能，AI伺服器、ASIC与CPO多元布局可望推升长期获利成长；

(2454-TW)联发科，下跌1.03%，收在3845元，第2季营收达1,521.83亿元，EPS 15.28元，上半年EPS累计30.45元，毛利率维持46.2%，基本面表现稳健，7月营收虽月减16.44%至484.75亿元，但仍年增12.16%，主要受到旗舰手机晶片换机周期影响，预期8、9月营收可望回升。更重要的是，联发科首款AI加速器ASIC预计第4季量产，资料中心业务今年营收可望突破20亿美元，并瞄准2027年AI ASIC市场15%至20%市占，加上已取得次世代CSP客户2028年量产专案，云端与AI布局持续深化，长线成长动能值得关注。

在大盘震荡加剧、资金转向具基本面支撑个股的环境下，AI与自动化、功率半导体成为盘面重要主轴，其中(3008-TW)大立光，受惠AI之眼与机器人视觉应用题材，AI与光学族群方面，市场持续寻找具差异化题材的标的，(3008-TW)大立光，搭上「AI之眼」题材，受惠AI视觉、机器人及高阶光学应用持续拓展，股价强势创下新高，显示资金即使在大盘急跌时，仍愿意布局具产业趋势与高成长潜力的个股，另外(4931-TW)新盛力，受惠AI伺服器、备援电源及储能需求成长，亦可留意AI基础建设扩张所带来的需求机会 ；另外 (2603-TW)长荣，具大型货柜航商地位，美线与SCFI指数连续走扬，市场预期第三季为传统旺季，运价「易涨难跌」，带动对长荣获利与配息想像。配合公司上半年获利亮眼、近月营收连续年增三成以上，基本面强势成为支撑股价强势创下新高。

2026.7.30股市期皇后领先预告(3008-TW)大立光

(3008-TW)大立光，3715=>5720，领先预告后+53%，

大立光高阶镜头需求回升 CPO布局添长线成长动能，受惠主要手机品牌新机放量及中国旗舰机种推出，预期第3季营收可望逐月回升，并带动毛利率改善。第2季营收年增17%，毛利率49.4%，随高阶镜头规格持续升级，加上潜望式、可变光圈及折叠手机镜头需求增加，有助产品组合优化。另一方面，大立光积极布局CPO光通讯，FA技术预计第3季完成试产线，最快2027年中进入量产，虽短期贡献有限，但随高速传输需求成长，CPO有望成为长期新成长引擎。

欢迎免费订阅

股市期皇后庄佳萤

https://lin.ee/9cyliMq

8/19

强势股分享

【上市量大上涨股】

(3090-TW)日电贸

(2478-TW)大毅

(5608-TW)四维航

(5269-TW)祥硕

(2613-TW)中柜

(6715-TW)嘉基

(9921-TW)巨大

(2417-TW)圆刚

(3034-TW)联咏

(2492-TW)华新科

(3008-TW)大立光

(6116-TW)彩晶

(2375-TW)凯美

(5538-TW)东明-KY

(2609-TW)阳明

(2617-TW)台航

8/19

强势股分享

【上柜量大上涨股】

(5314-TW)世纪*

(3508-TW)位速

(3498-TW)阳程

(8042-TW)金山电

(3236-TW)千如

(6125-TW)广运

(3265-TW)台星科

(6290-TW)良维

(6532-TW)瑞耘

(3490-TW)单井

(3537-TW)堡达

(3441-TW)联一光

(4931-TW)新盛力

(2641-TW)正德

(5351-TW)钰创

(3221-TW)台嘉硕

庄佳萤分析师:

每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股，让投资朋友轻松追踪2026年年台股操作方向，相关详细内容请加入Line@索取，免费提供给您!

股市期皇后证期双分析师庄佳萤

LINE官方帐号

LINE ID搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)

或是点击下方网址加入

https://lin.ee/9cyliMq

Youtube影音频道精彩解盘影片不容错过!

(记得按赞，订阅并打开小铃铛)

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文章来源:摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师

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"台股", "pinyin": "tw", "path": "/new/tw", "orderBy": 0, "target": "0", "status": "0", "listView": "list.html", "articleView": "article.html", "seoTitle": "", "seoKeywords": "", "seoDescription": "", "type": "0", "dataConfig": null, "level": 1 }, "article": { "id": 11993, "cid": 27, "subCid": null, "title": "【量大强涨股整理】八月底选股策略? 两大方向抢先布局九月大行情?!", "shortTitle": "【量大强涨股整理】八月底选股策略? 两大方向抢先布局九月大", "tagId": "", "attr": "", "articleView": null, "source": null, "author": "网络", "description": "【八月底选股策略? 两大方向抢先布局九月大行情】影片中分享给你知道（按赞订阅打开小铃铛）再来看一下今天的台股! 加权指数今日开低走低，终场下跌589.33点，收在44719.35，成交量9584.44亿。观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超416.39亿元，投信卖超120.90亿元，自营商卖超171.18亿元，三大法人合计卖超708.48亿元，其中，外资、自营商连卖二日、投信则由买转卖。油价持续攀升，市场重新担忧通膨压力升温，加上美国10年期公债殖利率逼近4.70%，全球债市卖压加重，", "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/2aaf1b20ee4430e8d13863dfd124d3f1.jpg", "content": "\n【八月底选股策略? 两大方向抢先布局九月大行情】\n<img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/2aaf1b20ee4430e8d13863dfd124d3f1.jpg\" alt=\"【量大强涨股整理】八月底选股策略? 两大方向抢先布局九月大行情?!\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/OBZsIXcT5Xs\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n影片中分享给你知道\n\n（按赞订阅打开小铃铛）\n\n再来看一下今天的台股!\n\n加权指数今日开低走低，终场下跌589.33点，收在44719.35，成交量9584.44亿。\n\n观察三大法人今天筹码动向，外资卖超416.39亿元，投信卖超120.90亿元，自营商卖超171.18亿元，三大法人合计卖超708.48亿元，其中，外资、自营商连卖二日、投信则由买转卖。\n\n油价持续攀升，市场重新担忧通膨压力升温，加上美国10年期公债殖利率逼近4.70%，全球债市卖压加重，企业融资成本上升疑虑升温，进一步压抑高估值科技股表现，美股周二四大指数全面收黑，其中费城半导体指数重挫4.98%，半导体族群成为主要杀盘重心，(NVDA-US)辉达，(AMD-US)超微，等AI概念股同步承压，显示市场短线风险偏好明显降温。\n\n受到美股科技股重挫影响，台股今日开盘面临较大卖压，加上受到台指期结算影响，加权指数今日开低走低，不过随着低接买盘逐步进场，跌幅明显收敛，终场下跌589.33点，收在44719.35，成交量9584.44亿，指数回测季线附近后出现反弹，今日收量缩黑K棒，台股虽然收黑K棒，但留下长达410.64点的下影线，代表低档有人承接，月线有撑，目前将是属于震荡格局；展望后市，美债殖利率高档、中东地缘政治风险，以及前波套牢筹码形成的卖压，仍是短线影响台股波动的重要因素，若后续急跌过程中融资余额同步下降，且成交量没有失控放大，反而有助市场消化短线浮额，待卖压逐步沉淀后，指数有机会重新寻找支撑，本周市场焦点则聚焦台指期结算、FED会议纪要，以及机器人与自动化工业展，相关自动化、机器人零组件及AI应用概念股仍有机会成为资金轮动的重要方向。\n\n权值股方面，(2330-TW)台积电，下跌1.26%，收在2350元，持续扩大资本支出，法人预估2027年Capex将由750亿美元上修至800亿美元，2028年维持900亿美元，主要受AI加速器、苹果2奈米晶片及AMD伺服器CPU需求带动，强劲需求也有助台积电持续扩大与英特尔、三星晶圆代工的竞争差距，法人同步上调2026至2028年每股获利预估约8%至15%，维持「优于大盘」评等，随着先进制程产能持续扩充、定价能力提升，加上AI运算供应短缺仍未完全缓解，台积电有望持续受惠AI长期资本支出超级循环； \n\n(2317-TW)鸿海，下跌1.61%，收在245元，鸿海第二季营运表现优于预期，受惠云端网路产品营收占比突破51%，加上营运杠杆及成本控管改善，营益率达3.8%，优于市场预期，EPS为4.24元，法人同步上修2026、2027年EPS预估9%及16%，展望后市，GPU伺服器仍是2027年主要成长动能，AI伺服器营收预估第三季季增双位数，ASIC及网通产品亦逐步放量，CPO交换器预计第三季进入量产，随着AI基础建设需求延续，鸿海2026年资本支出预估年增逾30%，并持续扩充台湾、美国及墨西哥产能，AI伺服器、ASIC与CPO多元布局可望推升长期获利成长；\n\n(2454-TW)联发科，下跌1.03%，收在3845元，第2季营收达1,521.83亿元，EPS 15.28元，上半年EPS累计30.45元，毛利率维持46.2%，基本面表现稳健，7月营收虽月减16.44%至484.75亿元，但仍年增12.16%，主要受到旗舰手机晶片换机周期影响，预期8、9月营收可望回升。更重要的是，联发科首款AI加速器ASIC预计第4季量产，资料中心业务今年营收可望突破20亿美元，并瞄准2027年AI ASIC市场15%至20%市占，加上已取得次世代CSP客户2028年量产专案，云端与AI布局持续深化，长线成长动能值得关注。\n\n在大盘震荡加剧、资金转向具基本面支撑个股的环境下，AI与自动化、功率半导体成为盘面重要主轴，其中(3008-TW)大立光，受惠AI之眼与机器人视觉应用题材，AI与光学族群方面，市场持续寻找具差异化题材的标的，(3008-TW)大立光，搭上「AI之眼」题材，受惠AI视觉、机器人及高阶光学应用持续拓展，股价强势创下新高，显示资金即使在大盘急跌时，仍愿意布局具产业趋势与高成长潜力的个股，另外(4931-TW)新盛力，受惠AI伺服器、备援电源及储能需求成长，亦可留意AI基础建设扩张所带来的需求机会 ；另外 (2603-TW)长荣，具大型货柜航商地位，美线与SCFI指数连续走扬，市场预期第三季为传统旺季，运价「易涨难跌」，带动对长荣获利与配息想像。配合公司上半年获利亮眼、近月营收连续年增三成以上，基本面强势成为支撑股价强势创下新高。\n\n2026.7.30股市期皇后领先预告(3008-TW)大立光 \n \n\n<figure><img data-height=\"362\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.5303867403314917\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/648f351eb9527e545565e64dd12f96f9.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/648f351eb9527e545565e64dd12f96f9.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n(3008-TW)大立光，3715=>5720，领先预告后+53%，\n\n大立光高阶镜头需求回升 CPO布局添长线成长动能，受惠主要手机品牌新机放量及中国旗舰机种推出，预期第3季营收可望逐月回升，并带动毛利率改善。第2季营收年增17%，毛利率49.4%，随高阶镜头规格持续升级，加上潜望式、可变光圈及折叠手机镜头需求增加，有助产品组合优化。另一方面，大立光积极布局CPO光通讯，FA技术预计第3季完成试产线，最快2027年中进入量产，虽短期贡献有限，但随高速传输需求成长，CPO有望成为长期新成长引擎。\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"364\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.521978021978022\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/35018affced48583906777ae97554b5a.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/35018affced48583906777ae97554b5a.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n欢迎免费订阅 \n股市期皇后庄佳萤\n\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a>\n\n8/19\n\n强势股分享\n\n【上市量大上涨股】 \n(3090-TW)日电贸\n\n(2478-TW)大毅\n\n(5608-TW)四维航\n\n(5269-TW)祥硕\n\n(2613-TW)中柜\n\n(6715-TW)嘉基\n\n(9921-TW)巨大\n\n(2417-TW)圆刚\n\n(3034-TW)联咏\n\n(2492-TW)华新科\n\n(3008-TW)大立光\n\n(6116-TW)彩晶\n\n(2375-TW)凯美\n\n(5538-TW)东明-KY\n\n(2609-TW)阳明\n\n(2617-TW)台航\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"496\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1169354838709677\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/1c4c5cbce8cbe6e52cbfa91aafef88f1.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/1c4c5cbce8cbe6e52cbfa91aafef88f1.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n8/19\n\n强势股分享\n\n【上柜量大上涨股】 \n(5314-TW)世纪*\n\n(3508-TW)位速\n\n(3498-TW)阳程\n\n(8042-TW)金山电\n\n(3236-TW)千如\n\n(6125-TW)广运\n\n(3265-TW)台星科\n\n(6290-TW)良维\n\n(6532-TW)瑞耘\n\n(3490-TW)单井\n\n(3537-TW)堡达\n\n(3441-TW)联一光\n\n(4931-TW)新盛力\n\n(2641-TW)正德\n\n(5351-TW)钰创\n\n(3221-TW)台嘉硕\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"503\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1013916500994037\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/8ec6114890dc846c156faf1e4ac3809c.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/8ec6114890dc846c156faf1e4ac3809c.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n庄佳萤分析师: \n每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股，让投资朋友轻松追踪2026年年台股操作方向，相关详细内容请加入Line@索取，免费提供给您!\n\n股市期皇后证期双分析师庄佳萤\n\nLINE官方帐号\n\nLINE ID搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)\n\n或是点击下方网址加入 \n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a>\n\nYoutube影音频道精彩解盘影片不容错过!\n\n(记得按赞，订阅并打开小铃铛)\n\n<a href=\"http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ\">http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ</a>\n\nFB粉丝团:【股市期皇后】\n\n<a href=\"https://goo.gl/kN2VKT\">https://goo.gl/kN2VKT</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"361\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4155124653739612\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/m/0cc050204ce31595e0d96dc10aca521f.jpg\" data-width=\"511\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6581634/l/0cc050204ce31595e0d96dc10aca521f.jpg\"></img></figure>\n\n文章来源:摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 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