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国庆间美股重挫台股压力山大 联发科等老AI、南亚科等记忆体、国巨等被动元件 今天先跑先赢!?

2026-10-12 10:32:57 网络 阅读(2)

国庆期间美股弱势主要是美国总统放话期中选举前要重启对伊朗攻势,然后又有Fed官员公开谈话放鹰升息加上OpenAI营收不如预期等因素干扰

国庆间美股重挫台股压力山大 联发科等老AI、南亚科等记忆体、国巨等被动元件 今天先跑先赢!?

先来讲讲升息部分我个人评估10月底这一次Fed不会升息,毕竟美国总统有期中选举压力会想办法让再次升息到选举后,至于美伊冲突就是歹戏拖棚双方私底下都想要和谈但台面上会放话呛声互相给对方压力,你可以仔细想一想美国和伊朗的冲突从三月初发生以来到现在七个多月,估计有超过100次互相放话呛声短线都让大家紧张股市会一直跌,结果呢???隔没多久股市又会再创高因为美国总统又会TACO,最新消息美国总统改口说11/3期中选举前不会攻击伊朗

因此,如果你有注意到上周五10/9美股已经止稳,早上开低的日股从跌快1.5%收盘跌0.02%开低走高跌幅收敛,今天的台股开盘不会像上周四10/8期指夜盘跌那么多按照新加坡富台指计算台股还是会开低预计跌400~500点,但这个下跌要好好把握住捡便宜的机会!!!

这种感觉会有点像中秋连假后,第一个交易日9/29(二)当天跌392点收在47631点很多股票绿油油,然后你都知道短短五个交易日到10/6(二)历史高49968点涨2300多点

除了以上的因素不要忘了台股还有强大的AI基本面加持,国庆后10/12记忆体南亚科、10/15权王台积电还有很多AI指标公司会陆续举行法说,上市柜公司也会慢慢公布第三季EPS,从目前AI的发展预计很多指标公司都会缴出漂亮成绩单,【2330台积电】周四10/8公布九月营收就可看出一些端倪评估到11/14前AI利多会一个接一个。

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文章来源:摩尔证券投顾---杨育华分析师

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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