融资余额飙历史新高，8400亿量能换手失败？高档多杀多引信已被点燃！

大盘看似跌势收敛，但8400亿量能仅持平月均量，在融资余额飙上历史新高的敏感时刻，缺乏有效换手量往往意味着高档筹码陷入停滞，当市场利空杂讯频传，多杀多引信是否已悄悄点燃？

〈台股震荡收近平盘！成交量不足、融资高档，慎防短线浮额卖压〉
今日台股受到连假期间半导体族群波动影响，早盘一度下跌逾544点，所幸国际地缘能源冲突传出趋缓曙光，加上低档买盘承接，终场仅小跌11.48点，收在49301.96点，成交金额8439亿元，盘中高低震荡达644点，表面上跌势收敛，但成交量仅约略持平月均量，市场追价意愿仍然不足，加上近期融资余额已快速累积至相对历史高档，如果没有足够成交量消化短线浮额，稍有风吹草动，就容易让高档筹码陷入套牢，尤其目前市场整体评价已处于高位阶，资金明显转向长时间量缩整理的低基期族群，显示资金正在重新寻找具备补涨条件的投资机会。

〈华城领军重电股带量突围！台达电遭337调查冲击，AI长线成长趋势不变〉
今日重电与电力基础建设族群带量转强，完全印证智霖老师先前领先市场、耐心布局低基期成长股的操作逻辑！其中华城(1519-TW)更是值得关注的指标厂，不仅具备北美高压变压器外销优势，更直接受惠AI资料中心电力建置、电网升级等刚性需求。

另一方面，美国国际贸易委员会针对AI伺服器供电系统启动337调查，让台达电(2308-TW)、广达(2382-TW)短线承受股价压力，但必须搞清楚，启动调查不代表侵权成立，台达电已正式说明将积极因应，目前相关产品与营运未受影响，从过往实务经验来看，337调查往往需要数季甚至更长时间，真正决定企业价值的，仍是订单、技术壁垒与获利成长，全球高阶AI算力需求依然紧缺，只要产业供需趋势未变，非结构性利空造成的情绪性修正，反而值得长线资金留意。

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〈半导体封测股高档回档掌握第二波左侧布局契机〉
至于先前表现强势的半导体封装与测试族群，今天集体回档休整，这正是老师日前反复强调，高档正乖离过大时，就要果断获利调节的原因！股票有涨就有跌，重点不是每天追着股价跑，而是当股价顺势拉回、正乖离充分收敛，并且筹码重新沉淀之后，能不能掌握下一次具备合理风险报酬的左侧布局机会，面对现阶段多空杂音纷扰的高难度盘势，不盲目扩张持股部位，续抱具备产业竞争优势的核心低估成长股，短线部位适时调节，维持充裕现金与流动性弹性，行情永远不缺机会，缺的是看懂资金方向、耐心等待并且确实执行的纪律，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师APP】，即时资讯都会在APP内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：https://lihi.cc/RFzlE

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文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券
无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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