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创见董座:记忆体进一步涨价空间有限 模组厂营运回归稳定常态

2026-11-10 19:06:56 网络 阅读(18)

记忆体模组厂创见(2451-TW)董事长束崇万指出,现阶段记忆体价格已处于相对高档,进一步涨价空间有限,预期第四季营运表现与第三季差不多;明年DRAM供应虽然仍将持续吃紧,尤其明年第一季供货量可能进一步减少,但随着低价库存红利逐渐消退,模组厂营收及获利也将回归较稳定的常态。

创见董座:记忆体进一步涨价空间有限 模组厂营运回归稳定常态

束崇万表示,第三季以来记忆体价格大致维持稳定,模组厂持续受惠于低价库存,对获利形成额外挹注。不过,随着今年第三季记忆体价格逐渐稳定,低价库存红利也基本消化完毕,后续模组厂营运将逐渐回归常态,营收及获利表现会比较稳定,不再像过去一样受惠于记忆体价格快速上涨及低价库存价差,未来营运成长将更多回归正常供货与销售表现。

束崇万指出,目前记忆体价格已处于高档,若再进一步涨价,市场供应端也未必有足够货源支撑。从供需情况来看,Flash因供货相对较多,后续是否面临市场竞争仍有待观察;DRAM缺货情况则比Flash更为严重,且明年上半年供应仍相当吃紧,近期已接获供应商通知,明年上半年供货量不多,目前也持续与供应商协商,希望维持既有供应水准。

至于中国记忆体厂扩产是否对市场价格造成压力,束崇万认为,短期影响仍有限,目前台湾及跨国客户对中国记忆体产品的接受度仍不高,尤其美国及欧洲大型客户多有采用限制,部分客户甚至明确要求不得使用中国产品,主要考量产品最终仍可能销往美国市场,因此目前尚未明显观察到竞争对手因采用中国零件而取得成本优势。

创见第三季营收160.67亿元,季减14.60%、年增291.08%、毛利率56.50%,季减20.53个百分点、年增11.29个百分点、营业利益率52.36%,季减22.73个百分点、年增15.54个百分点、税后纯益69.25亿元,季减41.80%、年增358.29%、每股纯益16.11元,累计前三季税后纯益269.44亿元,年增1068.87%,每股纯益62.74元。

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      "description": "2026年6月信音(6126-TW) 营收年增成长59.02% , 盘后股价为34.15元",
      "pv": 270,
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      "id": 8252,
      "title": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:大立光(3008-TW)EPS预估上修至190元,预估目标价为5220元",
      "shortTitle": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:大立光(3008-T",
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      "description": "FactSet 最新调查:大立光(3008-TW)EPS预估上修,预估EPS、预估营收、目标价、历史获利表现、即时新闻资讯。",
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      "pinyin": "tw",
      "name": "台股",
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    {
      "id": 2528,
      "title": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:健策(3653-TW)EPS预估下修至54.92元,预估目标价为5000元",
      "shortTitle": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:健策(3653-TW",
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      "name": "台股",
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    {
      "id": 869,
      "title": "巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:弘塑(3131-TW)EPS预估上修至69.62元,预估目标价为4000元",
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      "description": "FactSet 最新调查:联发科(2454-TW)EPS预估上修,预估EPS、预估营收、目标价、历史获利表现、即时新闻资讯。",
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    "title": "创见董座:记忆体进一步涨价空间有限 模组厂营运回归稳定常态",
    "shortTitle": "创见董座:记忆体进一步涨价空间有限 模组厂营运回归稳定常态",
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    "description": "创见束崇万称记忆体已在高档,第四季营运估与第三季差不多。
DRAM明年上半年供应仍吃紧,Flash供货较多;低价库存红利已近尾声。
创见前三季EPS 62.74元;中国记忆体厂扩产短期对价格影响有限。",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650122/l/8118eeba4a7b36b9a12fa277a745cb41.jpg",
    "content": "<p>记忆体模组厂创见(2451-TW)董事长束崇万指出,现阶段记忆体价格已处于相对高档,进一步涨价空间有限,预期第四季营运表现与第三季差不多;明年DRAM供应虽然仍将持续吃紧,尤其明年第一季供货量可能进一步减少,但随着低价库存红利逐渐消退,模组厂营收及获利也将回归较稳定的常态。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6650122/l/8118eeba4a7b36b9a12fa277a745cb41.jpg\" alt=\"创见董座:记忆体进一步涨价空间有限 模组厂营运回归稳定常态\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>束崇万表示,第三季以来记忆体价格大致维持稳定,模组厂持续受惠于低价库存,对获利形成额外挹注。不过,随着今年第三季记忆体价格逐渐稳定,低价库存红利也基本消化完毕,后续模组厂营运将逐渐回归常态,营收及获利表现会比较稳定,不再像过去一样受惠于记忆体价格快速上涨及低价库存价差,未来营运成长将更多回归正常供货与销售表现。</p>\n\n<p>束崇万指出,目前记忆体价格已处于高档,若再进一步涨价,市场供应端也未必有足够货源支撑。从供需情况来看,Flash因供货相对较多,后续是否面临市场竞争仍有待观察;DRAM缺货情况则比Flash更为严重,且明年上半年供应仍相当吃紧,近期已接获供应商通知,明年上半年供货量不多,目前也持续与供应商协商,希望维持既有供应水准。</p>\n\n<p>至于中国记忆体厂扩产是否对市场价格造成压力,束崇万认为,短期影响仍有限,目前台湾及跨国客户对中国记忆体产品的接受度仍不高,尤其美国及欧洲大型客户多有采用限制,部分客户甚至明确要求不得使用中国产品,主要考量产品最终仍可能销往美国市场,因此目前尚未明显观察到竞争对手因采用中国零件而取得成本优势。</p>\n\n<p>创见第三季营收160.67亿元,季减14.60%、年增291.08%、毛利率56.50%,季减20.53个百分点、年增11.29个百分点、营业利益率52.36%,季减22.73个百分点、年增15.54个百分点、税后纯益69.25亿元,季减41.80%、年增358.29%、每股纯益16.11元,累计前三季税后纯益269.44亿元,年增1068.87%,每股纯益62.74元。</p><div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-13539.html\" title=\"矽晶圆3年多来首见6、8、12吋全面涨价!AI算力需求爆发\">矽晶圆3年多来首见6、8、12吋全面涨价!AI算力需求爆发</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-3735.html\" title=\"汉翔拓高阶航空复材版图 洽谈海外新商机\">汉翔拓高阶航空复材版图 洽谈海外新商机</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-13828.html\" title=\"〈台股盘前要闻〉外资转空 4万6筑防线、 AI需求急催供应商扩产、大立光遭处置\">〈台股盘前要闻〉外资转空 4万6筑防线、 AI需求急催供应商扩产、大立光遭处置</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11212.html\" title=\"中联油脂三大股东上半年都陷亏损 泰山估每股亏损逾1.5元\">中联油脂三大股东上半年都陷亏损 泰山估每股亏损逾1.5元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-584.html\" title=\"宏观推「光电复合」技术 抢长距离传输商机\">宏观推「光电复合」技术 抢长距离传输商机</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-12557.html\" title=\"台股涨不动的真相曝光!量缩背后藏着更大危机\">台股涨不动的真相曝光!量缩背后藏着更大危机</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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