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定颖投控(3715)第三季毛利率跳升至22.2%!AI量产延后、HDI比重过半,2027年泰国厂接棒

2026-11-10 19:00:58 网络 阅读(5)

图片来源:优分析产业资料库

2026年11月10日(优分析/产业数据中心报导)⸺ 定颖投控2026年营运进入转型期,受惠两波产品调涨与高阶HDI比重提升,第三季毛利率回升至22.2%,摆脱第二季14.02%的低点。

不过,AI高阶板量产时程持续延后,全年AI营收占比20%的目标已确定落空。

短期获利靠涨价与产品组合支撑,真正的成长爆发点则要看2027年泰国厂与黄石新产能的放量。

第三季毛利率回升至22.2%,HDI营收占比突破五成

定颖投控第三季营收86.9亿元,季增26.46%、年增79.81%,毛利率达22.2%,较第二季大幅增加8.2个百分点,营益率也升至9.9%。

获利改善主要来自两波产品调涨。

公司于2026年6月至7月完成第二波调价,涨幅约5%至30%,效益自第三季开始反映;同时,HDI营收占比升至50%,较第二季增加5个百分点,营收金额季增41%,高阶产品组合改善也成为毛利率回升的重要支撑

AI量产时程延后,2026年占比20%目标落空

定颖原先预期2026年AI营收占比达20%、2027年超过40%,但8月法说已下修2026年目标,11月进一步指出,2027年AI营收占比约三分之一。

值得注意的是,占比下修不完全代表AI订单衰退,公司指出,非AI产品同样具有成长动能,因此稀释AI营收比重。

不过,AI高阶板量产时程延后,仍使原先预期的成长速度放慢,后续要观察客户验证、量产进度与实际出货。

10月营收年增逾一倍,第四季营运可望续强

定颖第三季营收创高后,10月营收达37.87亿元,年增121.47%;前10月累计营收249.85亿元,年增58.89%。

公司预期第四季营收与毛利率都将优于第三季,主要动能来自高阶DDR5、车用ADAS,以及网通伺服器加速卡需求。

这也代表即使AI高阶板尚未全面放量,其他高阶产品仍有机会支撑短期营运。

2027年泰国厂、黄石P3接棒,量产爬坡是获利关键

展望2027年,泰国厂预计第一季达到满载,黄石P3则预计第三季加入,AI相关营收占比约三分之一。

随着新产能开出,定颖有机会迎来下一阶段成长。

不过,扩产不等于获利立即放大。

法人已将2027年毛利率预估由26.6%下修至20%,反映新产能初期的良率爬坡,以及原物料成本上涨压力。

后续应追踪泰国厂稼动率、AI高阶板量产进度与毛利率变化,才能确认这波转型能否真正转化为获利成长。

※ 本文经「优分析」授权转载,原文出处:原文连结
※ 免责声明:文中所提的个股、基金、期货商品内容仅供参考,并非投资建议,投资人应独立判断,审慎评估风险。

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