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黄仁勋、苏姿丰同步聚焦AI基础建设!AI大行情还没走完!

2026-09-12 23:16:05 网络 阅读(55)

台股在创高后开始进入高档震荡整理,盘中波动明显放大,不过颜老师认为,目前行情比较像是涨多后的正常换手与洗盘。尤其从融资下降、尾盘跌幅收敛来看,市场资金其实没有真正退场,而是开始往新的主流族群轮动。
颜老师近期持续强调,现阶段操作重点不是预测大盘,而是掌握资金流向。因为真正的大行情,往往不是所有股票一起涨,而是资金从大型权值股,慢慢扩散到具备成长性的产业与中小型电子股。

而全球 AI 产业的市场焦点,集中于 Lisa Su(苏姿丰)提出的「Computing as Civilization(运算即文明)」概念,以及 Jensen Huang(黄仁勋)将于 COMPUTEX 聚焦的代理式 AI 与 AI 基础建设。这代表 AI 竞争已经不只是比 GPU 效能,而是比整体 AI 生态系与基础建设能力。

颜老师认为,AI 产业已正式从「概念成长期」,进入「资本支出爆发期」。未来 AI 不再只是聊天工具,而是会真正参与企业运作、资料分析与任务执行,因此背后所需要的算力、资料中心、电源管理与高速传输需求,将远超过市场目前预期。

因此接下来选股方向非常重要。
第一,AI 基础建设供应链仍是市场核心。包括 AI 伺服器、CoWoS 先进封装、散热、高速传输与电源管理 IC,都有机会持续受惠。尤其全球云端服务商持续扩大 AI 资料中心建设,也让相关供应链进入长线成长循环。

第二,近期最强势的被动元件族群也值得留意。根据 TrendForce 调查,NVIDIA GB200 单板约需 6,500 颗 MLCC,而下一代 Rubin 平台甚至接近 12,000 颗,显示 AI 伺服器升级后,高阶 MLCC 需求正快速增加。颜老师认为,这代表高阶被动元件已不只是景气循环题材,而是正式进入 AI 长线需求周期。

颜老师认为,现在市场最大的特色,就是资金轮动速度非常快,今天强势的族群,可能隔天资金又转往新的主流方向,因此现阶段操作难度其实已经明显提升,投资人更需要懂得聚焦真正的主流股,而不是看到什么涨就追什么。
颜老师认为,接下来真正有机会走出主升段的大飙股,关键并不是单纯挂上 AI 题材,而是是否真正受惠 AI 产业升级,包括打入 AI 伺服器供应链、掌握高规格产品、具备高毛利优势,以及未来营收与获利是否具备持续成长空间。这类公司,才更容易成为法人与市场资金长线锁定的核心标的。

虽然近期大盘震荡明显加剧,但越是在市场情绪不稳的时候,越容易看出哪些股票具备真正的强势结构。很多未来会大涨的股票,往往不是等利多消息全面发酵后才开始上涨,而是在市场还半信半疑时,资金就已经提前卡位布局。现阶段最重要的,不是盲目追高,而是掌握产业趋势与市场资金流向。

先进光 (3362-TW)
市调机构虽然因记忆体成本上涨而下修全球笔电出货总台数,但经营团队强调,AI PC 的规格升级趋势并未改变。高阶机种与 AI PC 为了支援人脸辨识、眼球追踪(Eye Tracking)及裸视 3D 功能,镜头需求从传统的单颗,转变为 RGB + IR + 双侧边 IR(共计高达 4 颗镜头) 的解决方案。这使先进光出货的「颗数」与「平均单价(ASP)」具备实质支撑。因应美系品牌客户对于非中非台「多元供应链」的严格要求,先进光斥资逾 10 亿元加码投资越南胡志明市新厂,将原有镜头产线延伸至触控与指纹辨识模组,预计于 2026 年年中正式加入营运。今年整体资本支出更拉高至 20 亿元的水准。

联一光 (3441-TW)
随着 ADAS(先进驾驶辅助系统)普及、车载镜头画素升级(全面往 500 万 / 800 万画素迈进),车厂对于抗高温、高信赖度的「非球面玻璃镜片」需求大增。联一光作为上游玻璃毛胚主要供应商,直接受惠。近期无人机与低空载具应用扩大,不论是军工还是商业物流,对高精密度光学镜头的需求增加,为联一光注入全新的利多题材。抛弃式与高阶医疗内视镜镜片毛利率极高,出货维持稳健,是支撑获利稳定的另一块基石。

大立光 (3008-TW)
市场高度关注 6 月苹果 WWDC 2026 将深化 Apple Intelligence(AI)的视觉应用。预计下半年发表的 iPhone 18 系列中,高阶机种将首度采用「可变光圈」技术。由于可变光圈每个步骤皆需精密检测、工序复杂,大立光凭借着绝对的技术与产能优势,将成为核心主力供应商,此高单价产品将显著拉高第三季起的平均单价(ASP)。

柏承 (6141-TW)
柏承于 2026 年 5 月 12 日董事会正式决议,将办理减资 2.33 亿元以弥补过去的累积亏损,减资比率约 20.60%。与减资案同步,董事会计划于 6 月 24 日股东常会上讨论以私募方式办理现金增资发行普通股案。在基本面最差的时点引进外部策略性资金或大咖伙伴,除了充实营运资金外,市场多预期这将为柏承带入如车用、通讯或高阶 HDI 板的新订单线索,开启「借壳蜕变」的想像空间。

敬鹏 (2355-TW)
美系客户在低轨卫星、高阶网通、AI 伺服器等敏感领域,加速落实「非中国制造(China+1)」政策。敬鹏深耕泰国厂多年,近期全力拉升泰国厂产线的稼动率并进行技术优化,成为这波历史性地缘政治转单的关键大赢家。作为全球第四大汽车用 PCB 制造商(汽车板营收占比达 75-78%),敬鹏正加速拉高非车用板比重。

臻鼎 - KY(4958-TW)
因应次世代 AI 算力基础设施,客户新一代光晶片 / 光模组全面向 1.6T 规格推进,带动采用 MSAP(半加成法)技术的高阶 PCB 需求呈数倍激增。臻鼎此业务今年营收预期将呈现数倍成长。董事长沈庆芳更透露,客户甚至已经开始预订 2027 年的产能,公司目标在 2027 年跃升为全球高阶光通讯 PCB 龙头。

华通 (2313-TW)
华通是美系卫星大厂(Starlink)天上板与地面收发单元的核心主力供应商。目前低轨卫星业务(天上+地面)已占华通整体营收比重达 22%。随客户加速布建新一代 V3 卫星,加上全球四大卫星营运商中有两大新客户自去底开始实质贡献营收,法人预估 2026 年华通的卫星营收将直逼 185 亿至 220 亿元,年增率上看 22% 以上。

当市场轮动越来越快,选股难度提高的同时,也代表真正的主升段机会正在慢慢浮现。与其分散资金追逐每一个题材,不如聚焦最强势的主流趋势股,才能真正跟上大资金布局方向。方向对了,获利只是时间问题,让颜老师带你精准卡位 AI 主升段下一波翻倍机会。

近期台股指数持续震荡,类股轮动非常快速,许多投资人确步不敢投资,颜老师和研究团队听到你们的心声。从操作方式和选股逻辑为投资人朋友优化。操作方式,大家都怕指数突然下杀,颜老师采用价差交易 +(效率) 波段交易,在有限风险之下,利润极大化,让你的获利不断入袋为安,请密切追踪颜老师官方 LINE@粉丝团,在不影响会员权益之下,对 Line@粉丝团的投资朋友分享会员讯息,更多会员绩效邀请您一起来做见证,第一手讯息、布局飙股机会请私讯老师【Line ID】搜寻 @v588168,请密切锁定 LINE@粉丝团关注!

更多第一手底喷飙股、产业趋势→请加入颜老师的官方 LINE@:

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          "pid": 10,
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              "pid": 61,
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        {
          "id": 45,
          "pid": 36,
          "name": "期货公司",
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    "description": "台股在创高后开始进入高档震荡整理,盘中波动明显放大,不过颜老师认为,目前行情比较像是涨多后的正常换手与洗盘。尤其从融资下降、尾盘跌幅收敛来看,市场资金其实没有真正退场,而是开始往新的主流族群轮动。 颜老师近期持续强调,现阶段操作重点不是预测大盘,而是掌握资金流向。因为真正的大行情,往往不是所有股票一起涨,而是资金从大型权值股,慢慢扩散到具备成长性的产业与中小型电子股。 而全球 AI 产业的市场焦点,集中于 Lisa Su(苏姿丰)提出的「Computing as Civilization(运算即",
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    "content": "<p>台股在创高后开始进入高档震荡整理,盘中波动明显放大,不过颜老师认为,目前行情比较像是涨多后的正常换手与洗盘。尤其从融资下降、尾盘跌幅收敛来看,市场资金其实没有真正退场,而是开始往新的主流族群轮动。<br>\n颜老师近期持续强调,现阶段操作重点不是预测大盘,而是掌握资金流向。因为真正的大行情,往往不是所有股票一起涨,而是资金从大型权值股,慢慢扩散到具备成长性的产业与中小型电子股。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/l/b609a695d594775d53055b7f4f7d3b5a.jpg\" alt=\"\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>而全球 AI 产业的市场焦点,集中于 Lisa Su(苏姿丰)提出的「Computing as Civilization(运算即文明)」概念,以及 Jensen Huang(黄仁勋)将于 COMPUTEX 聚焦的代理式 AI 与 AI 基础建设。这代表 AI 竞争已经不只是比 GPU 效能,而是比整体 AI 生态系与基础建设能力。</p>\n\n<p>颜老师认为,AI 产业已正式从「概念成长期」,进入「资本支出爆发期」。未来 AI 不再只是聊天工具,而是会真正参与企业运作、资料分析与任务执行,因此背后所需要的算力、资料中心、电源管理与高速传输需求,将远超过市场目前预期。</p>\n\n<p>因此接下来选股方向非常重要。<br>\n第一,AI 基础建设供应链仍是市场核心。包括 AI 伺服器、CoWoS 先进封装、散热、高速传输与电源管理 IC,都有机会持续受惠。尤其全球云端服务商持续扩大 AI 资料中心建设,也让相关供应链进入长线成长循环。</p>\n\n<p>第二,近期最强势的被动元件族群也值得留意。根据 TrendForce 调查,NVIDIA GB200 单板约需 6,500 颗 MLCC,而下一代 Rubin 平台甚至接近 12,000 颗,显示 AI 伺服器升级后,高阶 MLCC 需求正快速增加。颜老师认为,这代表高阶被动元件已不只是景气循环题材,而是正式进入 AI 长线需求周期。</p>\n\n<p>颜老师认为,现在市场最大的特色,就是资金轮动速度非常快,今天强势的族群,可能隔天资金又转往新的主流方向,因此现阶段操作难度其实已经明显提升,投资人更需要懂得聚焦真正的主流股,而不是看到什么涨就追什么。<br>\n颜老师认为,接下来真正有机会走出主升段的大飙股,关键并不是单纯挂上 AI 题材,而是是否真正受惠 AI 产业升级,包括打入 AI 伺服器供应链、掌握高规格产品、具备高毛利优势,以及未来营收与获利是否具备持续成长空间。这类公司,才更容易成为法人与市场资金长线锁定的核心标的。</p>\n\n<p>虽然近期大盘震荡明显加剧,但越是在市场情绪不稳的时候,越容易看出哪些股票具备真正的强势结构。很多未来会大涨的股票,往往不是等利多消息全面发酵后才开始上涨,而是在市场还半信半疑时,资金就已经提前卡位布局。现阶段最重要的,不是盲目追高,而是掌握产业趋势与市场资金流向。</p>\n\n<p>先进光 (3362-TW)<br>\n市调机构虽然因记忆体成本上涨而下修全球笔电出货总台数,但经营团队强调,AI PC 的规格升级趋势并未改变。高阶机种与 AI PC 为了支援人脸辨识、眼球追踪(Eye Tracking)及裸视 3D 功能,镜头需求从传统的单颗,转变为 RGB + IR + 双侧边 IR(共计高达 4 颗镜头) 的解决方案。这使先进光出货的「颗数」与「平均单价(ASP)」具备实质支撑。因应美系品牌客户对于非中非台「多元供应链」的严格要求,先进光斥资逾 10 亿元加码投资越南胡志明市新厂,将原有镜头产线延伸至触控与指纹辨识模组,预计于 2026 年年中正式加入营运。今年整体资本支出更拉高至 20 亿元的水准。</p>\n\n<p>联一光 (3441-TW)<br>\n随着 ADAS(先进驾驶辅助系统)普及、车载镜头画素升级(全面往 500 万 / 800 万画素迈进),车厂对于抗高温、高信赖度的「非球面玻璃镜片」需求大增。联一光作为上游玻璃毛胚主要供应商,直接受惠。近期无人机与低空载具应用扩大,不论是军工还是商业物流,对高精密度光学镜头的需求增加,为联一光注入全新的利多题材。抛弃式与高阶医疗内视镜镜片毛利率极高,出货维持稳健,是支撑获利稳定的另一块基石。</p>\n\n<p>大立光 (3008-TW)<br>\n市场高度关注 6 月苹果 WWDC 2026 将深化 Apple Intelligence(AI)的视觉应用。预计下半年发表的 iPhone 18 系列中,高阶机种将首度采用「可变光圈」技术。由于可变光圈每个步骤皆需精密检测、工序复杂,大立光凭借着绝对的技术与产能优势,将成为核心主力供应商,此高单价产品将显著拉高第三季起的平均单价(ASP)。</p>\n\n<p>柏承 (6141-TW)<br>\n柏承于 2026 年 5 月 12 日董事会正式决议,将办理减资 2.33 亿元以弥补过去的累积亏损,减资比率约 20.60%。与减资案同步,董事会计划于 6 月 24 日股东常会上讨论以私募方式办理现金增资发行普通股案。在基本面最差的时点引进外部策略性资金或大咖伙伴,除了充实营运资金外,市场多预期这将为柏承带入如车用、通讯或高阶 HDI 板的新订单线索,开启「借壳蜕变」的想像空间。</p>\n\n<p>敬鹏 (2355-TW)<br>\n美系客户在低轨卫星、高阶网通、AI 伺服器等敏感领域,加速落实「非中国制造(China+1)」政策。敬鹏深耕泰国厂多年,近期全力拉升泰国厂产线的稼动率并进行技术优化,成为这波历史性地缘政治转单的关键大赢家。作为全球第四大汽车用 PCB 制造商(汽车板营收占比达 75-78%),敬鹏正加速拉高非车用板比重。</p>\n\n<p>臻鼎 - KY(4958-TW)<br>\n因应次世代 AI 算力基础设施,客户新一代光晶片 / 光模组全面向 1.6T 规格推进,带动采用 MSAP(半加成法)技术的高阶 PCB 需求呈数倍激增。臻鼎此业务今年营收预期将呈现数倍成长。董事长沈庆芳更透露,客户甚至已经开始预订 2027 年的产能,公司目标在 2027 年跃升为全球高阶光通讯 PCB 龙头。</p>\n\n<p>华通 (2313-TW)<br>\n华通是美系卫星大厂(Starlink)天上板与地面收发单元的核心主力供应商。目前低轨卫星业务(天上+地面)已占华通整体营收比重达 22%。随客户加速布建新一代 V3 卫星,加上全球四大卫星营运商中有两大新客户自去底开始实质贡献营收,法人预估 2026 年华通的卫星营收将直逼 185 亿至 220 亿元,年增率上看 22% 以上。</p>\n\n<p>当市场轮动越来越快,选股难度提高的同时,也代表真正的主升段机会正在慢慢浮现。与其分散资金追逐每一个题材,不如聚焦最强势的主流趋势股,才能真正跟上大资金布局方向。方向对了,获利只是时间问题,让颜老师带你精准卡位 AI 主升段下一波翻倍机会。</p>\n\n<p>近期台股指数持续震荡,类股轮动非常快速,许多投资人确步不敢投资,颜老师和研究团队听到你们的心声。从操作方式和选股逻辑为投资人朋友优化。操作方式,大家都怕指数突然下杀,颜老师采用价差交易 +(效率) 波段交易,在有限风险之下,利润极大化,让你的获利不断入袋为安,请密切追踪颜老师官方 LINE@粉丝团,在不影响会员权益之下,对 Line@粉丝团的投资朋友分享会员讯息,更多会员绩效邀请您一起来做见证,第一手讯息、布局飙股机会请私讯老师【Line ID】搜寻 @v588168,请密切锁定 LINE@粉丝团关注!</p>\n\n<p>更多第一手底喷飙股、产业趋势&rarr;请加入颜老师的官方 LINE@:</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://lin.ee/V7lQjOs\">https://lin.ee/V7lQjOs</a></p>\n\n<p>颜老师每日解盘影片,带你了解总经全貌、最新新闻消息分析、个股解析<br>\n记得一定要【订阅 + 按赞 + 分享帮助好友】</p>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/b-TgIffLoM0\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"433\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.7551963048498844\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/m/a129de1f1c9cc9285337fa5f297b9938.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/l/a129de1f1c9cc9285337fa5f297b9938.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/l/a129de1f1c9cc9285337fa5f297b9938.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/xl/a129de1f1c9cc9285337fa5f297b9938.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/xxl/a129de1f1c9cc9285337fa5f297b9938.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"537\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.415270018621974\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/m/4aca5bc6da8788a0292bff342850cac1.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/l/4aca5bc6da8788a0292bff342850cac1.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/l/4aca5bc6da8788a0292bff342850cac1.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/xl/4aca5bc6da8788a0292bff342850cac1.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6463205/xl/4aca5bc6da8788a0292bff342850cac1.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-8116.html\" title=\"外资卖超609亿元调节台塑集团股  三大法人力捧纬创3天加码15万张\">外资卖超609亿元调节台塑集团股  三大法人力捧纬创3天加码15万张</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5977.html\" title=\"外资卖超471亿元连6卖 光是台积电就提款310亿元\">外资卖超471亿元连6卖 光是台积电就提款310亿元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2359.html\" title=\"抱股过端午!三大法人3天扫货124万张 怪物新人00403A站上11元创高\">抱股过端午!三大法人3天扫货124万张 怪物新人00403A站上11元创高</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-519.html\" title=\"亿光转嫁成本力拚Q2毛利率回温 高阶不可见光与车用出货带劲\">亿光转嫁成本力拚Q2毛利率回温 高阶不可见光与车用出货带劲</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11705.html\" title=\"〈台股开盘〉三攻4万6关卡压力加重 权值股表现压抑 上涨200点后翻黑走低\">〈台股开盘〉三攻4万6关卡压力加重 权值股表现压抑 上涨200点后翻黑走低</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14136.html\" title=\"华安拟办理现增3亿元 推进两大新药临床及商化授权\">华安拟办理现增3亿元 推进两大新药临床及商化授权</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-05-19T02:47:08.000Z",
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