台股冲4万7记忆体股却惨绿原来是...中国记忆体大厂示警四大风险

2026-10-11 01:45:38 网络阅读（77）
尽管市场持续看好 AI 发展带动记忆体需求，中国 NOR Flash(编码型快闪记忆体) 供应商兆易创新却发出公告示警风险，指出目前产品价格已处于历史高位，未来产品价格可能出现相当幅度的回落，拖累台湾记忆体厂今 (1) 日无力跟上台股冲 4 万 7 的脚步，包括华邦电 (2344-TW)、南亚科 (2408-TW) 及旺宏 (2337-TW) 皆脸黑，纷纷跌逾半根停板。
近期记忆体股价强涨，但兆易创新却发出「关于股票交易风险提示」的公告，并提出 4 大风险，包括：
股价短期上涨后快速回落的风险
估值较高的风险
存储行业周期波动风险
公司经营风险以及公司研发风险
其中，针对存储行业周期波动风险，兆易创新提及，公司所处存储芯片行业在历史上具显著的周期性波动特性，目前产品价格已处于历史高位，大幅上涨的趋势不可持续，行业供给与需求将走向再平衡。
兆易创新进一步指出，主要产品价格可能出现相当幅度的回落，届时对公司存储业务的产品售价、毛利率将产生较大影响，进而拖累公司获利能力。
而台厂旺宏、华邦电的记忆体产品与兆易创新高度重叠，南亚科也有部分产品正面竞争，因此此次兆易创新公告，被认为可能牵动台厂后续的发展。
今年上半年记忆体股在缺货涨价题材带动下全面大涨，其中旺宏涨幅高达 294% 最为惊人，华邦电涨 151%、南亚科涨 134% 及力积电涨 102%，累计涨幅也超过 1 倍。
记忆体股近期遭外资连续出脱，本周股价提前出现回档，今天更无力跟上台股 4 万 7 的脚步，纷纷爆量跌逾半根停板。从筹码面来看，外资也持续减码记忆体族群，连续 9 个交易日卖超华邦电共计 28.67 万张；连续 6 个交易日卖超南亚科共 7.5 万张；连续 2 个交易日卖超旺宏共 6 万张；连续 4 个交易日卖超力积电 14.5 万张。
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