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【量大强涨股整理】台股五万点四大族群曝光复制密码!

2026-09-10 07:34:57 网络 阅读(66)

台股五万点四大族群曝光复制密码!

【量大强涨股整理】台股五万点四大族群曝光复制密码!

影片中分享给你知道

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再来看一下今天的台股!

加权指数今日开低走高,终场上涨 36.46 点,收在 46780.62,成交量 10155.70 亿。

观察三大法人今天筹码动向,外资卖超 777.82 亿元,投信买超 75.96 亿元,自营商卖超 32.59 亿元,三大法人合计卖超 734.45 亿元,其中,外资、自营商连卖二日,投信则连买九日共买超 860.61 亿元。

美国公布最新就业报告,6 月非农就业新增仅 5.7 万人,明显低于市场预期的 11 万人,虽然失业率由 4.3% 降至 4.2%,但主要反映劳动参与率下滑,而非就业市场实质转强,疲弱的就业数据强化市场对联准会政策转向的期待,美债殖利率回落、美股期货同步走扬,市场也降低对后续升息的预期,不过美股互见,道琼工业指数续创历史新高,标普 500 指数与那斯达克指数维持高档震荡,但费城半导体指数重挫逾 5%,科技股表现明显承压,其中 (NVDA-US) 辉达,(AMD-US) 超微,及 (TSM-US) 台积电 ADR,同步走弱,反映市场对高估值 AI 族群出现获利了结卖压。

美股半导体股回档,也对亚洲科技股造成压力,台股今日受到费城半导体指数大跌拖累,加权指数开低,一度跌破 46000 点整数关卡,电子权值股普遍走弱,包括 (2330-TW) 台积电,(2454-TW) 联发科,(3711-TW) 日月光,投控等同步下挫,使电子类股成为盘面主要压力来源,不过随着低接买盘进场,(2308-TW) 台达电,(2317-TW) 鸿海,跌幅明显收敛,甚至翻红表态,成功稳住市场信心,也带动指数重返 46000 点之上,终场上涨 36.46 点,收在 46780.62,成交量 10155.70 亿,台股近期维持高档震荡格局;但多数金融投顾法人圈已直指台股五万点,受惠资金与政策双利多助攻,伴随上市柜企业获利年增率上调至逾四成的亮眼基本面加持,法人乐观上看 55,000 点大关,目前内外资法人对台股下半年看法愈来愈乐观,目标指数位置不断上调。整体而言,加权指数朝 50,000 点迈进,已逐渐成为法人圈的基本共识;另外外资机构持续看好全球晶圆代工龙头 (2330-TW) 台积电,中长期发展前景;瑞银证券于周一(29 日)发布最新报告,将台积电的目标价由 3,000 元调升至 3,400 元新台币,并维持「买入」评等。此外,瑞银同步调高台积电 2026 年的整体销售增长预期,认为其营运增势具备中长期延续性,认为公司有望在 2027 年初启动产品提价,进一步提升获利水平。

资金持续由电子股转向传产及金融族群,盘面呈现良性轮动格局,水泥、食品、纺织、汽车、航运及金融等族群同步走扬,成为今日撑盘主力,显示市场并未出现恐慌性卖压,而是透过族群轮动消化电子股短线修正压力,柜买市场表现亦相对稳健,中小型股维持一定人气,反映市场资金仍具活力。

基本面来看,台股多头架构并未遭到破坏,受惠 AI 伺服器、高效能运算 HPC、高速网通及云端资料中心需求持续扩增,上市柜公司 5 月合计营收达 5.26 兆元,不仅创历年同期新高,更写下历史单月第三高纪录,显示企业获利动能依旧稳健,尤其 AI 供应链仍是市场关注焦点,包括 (6669-TW) 纬颖、(3231-TW) 纬创、(2382-TW) 广达、(3017-TW) 奇𬭎,及 (3324-TW) 双鸿,后续营运成长动能仍值得期待。

虽然外资近期因国际股市震荡及获利了结而调节台股部位,短线加权指数不排除仍有测试 45000 点附近支撑的可能,但观察融资余额并未明显失控,市场筹码仍属健康,加上企业获利展望维持正向,对大盘形成重要支撑,整体而言,短线电子权值股受到国际半导体股修正影响,整理压力仍在,但 AI 长线成长趋势并未改变,企业基本面也持续提供支撑,只要成交量维持合理水准,且重要均线未遭有效跌破,在资金健康轮动下,台股仍可维持震荡偏多格局,待电子权值股完成整理后,预期仍将重新扮演领涨角色,投资人可留意 AI、半导体、高效能运算及营收持续成长族群,逢回分批布局,以掌握下半年产业成长契机。

2026.6.21 经济日报领先预告 (2483-TW) 百容

(2483-TW) 百容,39.65=>67.1,领先预告后 +70%

百容主要从事继电器、连接器及电子零组件制造,近年积极转型半导体相关应用,半导体业务营收占比已突破五成,成为主要成长动能,受惠半导体客户持续追加订单及新模具需求升温,带动首季营收达 4.81 亿元,创近七季新高,并成功由亏转盈,每股纯益 0.15 元,5 月营收维持 1.81 亿元高档水准,年增 15%,显示接单动能稳健,随着第二季工作天数增加,加上生产基地整并效益持续发酵,有助提升营运效率与获利表现,激励市场买盘进驻,推升股价强势攻上涨停。

2026.5.22 经济日报领先预告 (2484-TW) 希华

石英元件厂 (2484-TW) 希华,48.45=>96.4,领先预告后 +98%

希华为国内重要石英晶体与石英振荡器供应商,产品广泛应用于通讯设备、网通产品及消费性电子市场,受惠于 AI 伺服器、高速传输及终端电子产品需求回温,公司近期营运表现明显改善,最新单月营收创下近 42 个月新高,展现接单动能回升迹象,市场看好石英元件在高速运算与通讯应用中的需求持续增长,加上法人近期偏多布局,推升股价维持强势表现,随着产业景气逐步复苏及订单能见度提升,市场对希华下半年营收与获利成长抱持乐观期待,吸引资金持续关注。

欢迎免费订阅
股市期皇后 庄佳萤

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7/3

强势股分享

【上市 量大上涨股】

(3163-TW) 波若威
(1337-TW) 再生 - KY
(2233-TW) 宇隆
(6753-TW) 龙德造船
(1563-TW) 巧新
(1467-TW) 南纬
(1717-TW) 长兴
(2428-TW) 兴勤
(2390-TW) 云辰
(2466-TW) 冠西电
(4989-TW) 荣科
(8033-TW) 雷虎
(8222-TW) 宝一
(1304-TW) 台聚
(1409-TW) 新纤
(2429-TW) 铭旺科

7/3

强势股分享

【上柜 量大上涨股】

(5488-TW) 松普
(6174-TW) 安碁
(3663-TW) 鑫科
(4128-TW) 中天
(3294-TW) 英济
(5490-TW) 同亨
(5371-TW) 中光电
(7402-TW) 邑锜
(4147-TW) 中裕
(6173-TW) 信昌电
(6182-TW) 合晶
(6143-TW) 振曜
(3213-TW) 茂讯
(4707-TW) 磐亚
(3081-TW) 联亚
(5864-TW) 致和证

庄佳萤分析师:
每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股,让投资朋友轻松追踪 2025 年年台股操作方向,相关详细内容请加入 Line@索取,免费提供给您!

股市期皇后 证期双分析师 庄佳萤

LINE 官方帐号

LINE ID 搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)

或是点击下方网址加入
https://lin.ee/9cyliMq

Youtube 影音频道 精彩解盘影片不容错过!

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文章来源: 摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师

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          "id": 43,
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          "id": 44,
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    "content": "<p>台股五万点四大族群曝光复制密码!</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/73c7daa2ff8a4fdb5f153f339c7dbfa2.jpg\" alt=\"【量大强涨股整理】台股五万点四大族群曝光复制密码!\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/etQu-ycIDVQ\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<p> \n</p><p>影片中分享给你知道</p>\n<p></p>\n\n<p>(按赞订阅打开小铃铛)</p>\n\n<p><strong>再来看一下今天的台股</strong><strong>!</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>加权指数今日开低走高,终场上涨</strong><strong> 36.46</strong><strong> 点,收在</strong><strong> 46780.62</strong><strong>,成交量</strong><strong> 10155.70</strong><strong> 亿。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>观察三大法人今天筹码动向,外资卖超</strong><strong> 777.82</strong><strong> 亿元,投信买超</strong><strong> 75.96</strong><strong> 亿元,自营商卖超</strong><strong> 32.59</strong><strong> 亿元,三大法人合计卖超</strong><strong> 734.45</strong><strong> 亿元,其中,外资、自营商连卖二日,投信则连买九日共买超</strong><strong> 860.61</strong><strong> 亿元。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>美国公布最新就业报告,</strong><strong>6 </strong><strong>月非农就业新增仅</strong><strong> 5.7 </strong><strong>万人,明显低于市场预期的</strong><strong> 11 </strong><strong>万人,虽然失业率由</strong><strong> 4.3% </strong><strong>降至</strong><strong> 4.2%</strong><strong>,但主要反映劳动参与率下滑,而非就业市场实质转强,疲弱的就业数据强化市场对联准会政策转向的期待,美债殖利率回落、美股期货同步走扬,市场也降低对后续升息的预期,不过美股互见,道琼工业指数续创历史新高,标普</strong><strong> 500</strong><strong> 指数与那斯达克指数维持高档震荡,但费城半导体指数重挫逾</strong><strong> 5%</strong><strong>,科技股表现明显承压,其中</strong><strong> (NVDA-US)</strong><strong> 辉达,</strong><strong>(AMD-US)</strong><strong> 超微,及</strong><strong> (TSM-US)</strong><strong> 台积电</strong><strong> ADR</strong><strong>,同步走弱,反映市场对高估值</strong><strong> AI</strong><strong> 族群出现获利了结卖压。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>美股半导体股回档,也对亚洲科技股造成压力,台股今日受到费城半导体指数大跌拖累,加权指数开低,一度跌破</strong><strong> 46000</strong><strong> 点整数关卡,电子权值股普遍走弱,包括</strong><strong> (2330-TW)</strong><strong> 台积电,</strong><strong>(2454-TW)</strong><strong> 联发科,</strong><strong>(3711-TW)</strong><strong> 日月光,投控等同步下挫,使电子类股成为盘面主要压力来源,不过随着低接买盘进场,</strong><strong>(2308-TW)</strong><strong> 台达电,</strong><strong>(2317-TW)</strong><strong> 鸿海,跌幅明显收敛,甚至翻红表态,成功稳住市场信心,也带动指数重返</strong><strong> 46000</strong><strong> 点之上,终场上涨</strong><strong> 36.46</strong><strong> 点,收在</strong><strong> 46780.62</strong><strong>,成交量</strong><strong> 10155.70</strong><strong> 亿,台股近期维持高档震荡格局;但多数金融投顾法人圈已直指台股五万点,受惠资金与政策双利多助攻,伴随上市柜企业获利年增率上调至逾四成的亮眼基本面加持,法人乐观上看</strong><strong> 55,000</strong><strong> 点大关,目前内外资法人对台股下半年看法愈来愈乐观,目标指数位置不断上调。整体而言,加权指数朝</strong><strong> 50,000</strong><strong> 点迈进,已逐渐成为法人圈的基本共识;另外外资机构持续看好全球晶圆代工龙头</strong><strong> (2330-TW)</strong><strong> 台积电,中长期发展前景;瑞银证券于周一(</strong><strong>29 </strong><strong>日)发布最新报告,将台积电的目标价由</strong><strong> 3,000</strong><strong> 元调升至</strong><strong> 3,400</strong><strong> 元新台币,并维持「买入」评等。此外,瑞银同步调高台积电</strong><strong> 2026</strong><strong> 年的整体销售增长预期,认为其营运增势具备中长期延续性,认为公司有望在</strong><strong> 2027</strong><strong> 年初启动产品提价,进一步提升获利水平。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>资金持续由电子股转向传产及金融族群,盘面呈现良性轮动格局,水泥、食品、纺织、汽车、航运及金融等族群同步走扬,成为今日撑盘主力,显示市场并未出现恐慌性卖压,而是透过族群轮动消化电子股短线修正压力,柜买市场表现亦相对稳健,中小型股维持一定人气,反映市场资金仍具活力。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>基本面来看,台股多头架构并未遭到破坏,受惠</strong><strong> AI</strong><strong> 伺服器、高效能运算</strong><strong> HPC</strong><strong>、高速网通及云端资料中心需求持续扩增,上市柜公司</strong><strong> 5</strong><strong> 月合计营收达</strong><strong> 5.26</strong><strong> 兆元,不仅创历年同期新高,更写下历史单月第三高纪录,显示企业获利动能依旧稳健,尤其</strong><strong> AI</strong><strong> 供应链仍是市场关注焦点,包括</strong><strong> (6669-TW)</strong><strong> 纬颖、</strong><strong>(3231-TW)</strong><strong> 纬创、</strong><strong>(2382-TW)</strong><strong> 广达、</strong><strong>(3017-TW)</strong><strong> 奇𬭎,及</strong><strong> (3324-TW)</strong><strong> 双鸿,后续营运成长动能仍值得期待。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>虽然外资近期因国际股市震荡及获利了结而调节台股部位,短线加权指数不排除仍有测试</strong><strong> 45000</strong><strong> 点附近支撑的可能,但观察融资余额并未明显失控,市场筹码仍属健康,加上企业获利展望维持正向,对大盘形成重要支撑,整体而言,短线电子权值股受到国际半导体股修正影响,整理压力仍在,但</strong><strong> AI</strong><strong> 长线成长趋势并未改变,企业基本面也持续提供支撑,只要成交量维持合理水准,且重要均线未遭有效跌破,在资金健康轮动下,台股仍可维持震荡偏多格局,待电子权值股完成整理后,预期仍将重新扮演领涨角色,投资人可留意</strong><strong> AI</strong><strong>、半导体、高效能运算及营收持续成长族群,逢回分批布局,以掌握下半年产业成长契机。</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>2026.6.21 经济日报领先预告 (2483-TW) 百容</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"360\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.538888888888889\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/m/d76313c17c239e3da4ee7db25ddf2ca4.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/d76313c17c239e3da4ee7db25ddf2ca4.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p><strong>(2483-TW)</strong><strong> 百容,</strong><strong>39.65=>67.1</strong><strong>,领先预告后</strong><strong> +70%</strong><strong>,</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>百容主要从事继电器、连接器及电子零组件制造,近年积极转型半导体相关应用,半导体业务营收占比已突破五成,成为主要成长动能,受惠半导体客户持续追加订单及新模具需求升温,带动首季营收达</strong><strong> 4.81</strong><strong> 亿元,创近七季新高,并成功由亏转盈,每股纯益</strong><strong> 0.15</strong><strong> 元,</strong><strong>5</strong><strong> 月营收维持</strong><strong> 1.81</strong><strong> 亿元高档水准,年增</strong><strong> 15%</strong><strong>,显示接单动能稳健,随着第二季工作天数增加,加上生产基地整并效益持续发酵,有助提升营运效率与获利表现,激励市场买盘进驻,推升股价强势攻上涨停。</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"312\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.766025641025641\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/m/c687f775b06193d7f5bd6319aeff1721.jpg\" data-width=\"551\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/c687f775b06193d7f5bd6319aeff1721.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p><strong>2026.5.22</strong><strong> 经济日报领先预告</strong><strong> (2484-TW)</strong><strong> 希华</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"367\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.5095367847411445\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/m/be10179c2805d9cc28718a7af5bc7fc0.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/be10179c2805d9cc28718a7af5bc7fc0.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p><strong>石英元件厂</strong><strong> (2484-TW)</strong><strong> 希华,</strong><strong>48.45=>96.4</strong><strong>,领先预告后</strong><strong> +98%</strong><strong>,</strong></p>\n\n<p><strong>希华为国内重要石英晶体与石英振荡器供应商,产品广泛应用于通讯设备、网通产品及消费性电子市场,受惠于</strong><strong> AI</strong><strong> 伺服器、高速传输及终端电子产品需求回温,公司近期营运表现明显改善,最新单月营收创下近</strong><strong> 42</strong><strong> 个月新高,展现接单动能回升迹象,市场看好石英元件在高速运算与通讯应用中的需求持续增长,加上法人近期偏多布局,推升股价维持强势表现,随着产业景气逐步复苏及订单能见度提升,市场对希华下半年营收与获利成长抱持乐观期待,吸引资金持续关注。</strong></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"314\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.7484076433121019\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/m/2414bb1fc558e516d541f2246054d9fb.jpg\" data-width=\"549\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/2414bb1fc558e516d541f2246054d9fb.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p>欢迎免费订阅<br>\n股市期皇后 庄佳萤</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a></p>\n\n<p>7/3</p>\n\n<p>强势股分享</p>\n\n<p>【上市 量大上涨股】</p>\n\n<p>(3163-TW) 波若威<br>\n(1337-TW) 再生 - KY<br>\n(2233-TW) 宇隆<br>\n(6753-TW) 龙德造船<br>\n(1563-TW) 巧新<br>\n(1467-TW) 南纬<br>\n(1717-TW) 长兴<br>\n(2428-TW) 兴勤<br>\n(2390-TW) 云辰<br>\n(2466-TW) 冠西电<br>\n(4989-TW) 荣科<br>\n(8033-TW) 雷虎<br>\n(8222-TW) 宝一<br>\n(1304-TW) 台聚<br>\n(1409-TW) 新纤<br>\n(2429-TW) 铭旺科</p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"499\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1102204408817635\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/m/435a8e9a860547844aa4450cde0dc781.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/435a8e9a860547844aa4450cde0dc781.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p>7/3</p>\n\n<p>强势股分享</p>\n\n<p>【上柜 量大上涨股】</p>\n\n<p>(5488-TW) 松普<br>\n(6174-TW) 安碁<br>\n(3663-TW) 鑫科<br>\n(4128-TW) 中天<br>\n(3294-TW) 英济<br>\n(5490-TW) 同亨<br>\n(5371-TW) 中光电<br>\n(7402-TW) 邑锜<br>\n(4147-TW) 中裕<br>\n(6173-TW) 信昌电<br>\n(6182-TW) 合晶<br>\n(6143-TW) 振曜<br>\n(3213-TW) 茂讯<br>\n(4707-TW) 磐亚<br>\n(3081-TW) 联亚<br>\n(5864-TW) 致和证</p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"503\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.1013916500994037\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/m/ca2e312dfe0e5a5df1b887eef8c8292f.jpg\" data-width=\"554\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/ca2e312dfe0e5a5df1b887eef8c8292f.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p>庄佳萤分析师:<br>\n每日分享盘势解析跟精选产业个股,让投资朋友轻松追踪 2025 年年台股操作方向,相关详细内容请加入 Line@索取,免费提供给您!</p>\n\n<p>股市期皇后 证期双分析师 庄佳萤</p>\n\n<p>LINE 官方帐号</p>\n\n<p>LINE ID 搜寻: @win1788 (@不可省略)</p>\n\n<p>或是点击下方网址加入<br>\n<a href=\"https://lin.ee/9cyliMq\">https://lin.ee/9cyliMq</a></p>\n\n<p>Youtube 影音频道 精彩解盘影片不容错过!</p>\n\n<p>(记得按赞,订阅并打开小铃铛)</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ\">http://yt1.piee.pw/QAHKZ</a></p>\n\n<p>FB 粉丝团:【股市期皇后】</p>\n\n<p><a href=\"https://goo.gl/kN2VKT\">https://goo.gl/kN2VKT</a></p>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"361\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"1.4155124653739612\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/m/06ddcfc52da0a7a276507674c1c1c3be.jpg\" data-width=\"511\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6522038/l/06ddcfc52da0a7a276507674c1c1c3be.jpg\"></figure>\n\n<p>文章来源: 摩尔投顾庄佳萤分析师</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-2421.html\" title=\"〈央行理监事会〉地产业者:房市18个月淘汰赛结束 但非全面性上行循环\">〈央行理监事会〉地产业者:房市18个月淘汰赛结束 但非全面性上行循环</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5839.html\" title=\"《价值型投资 最新产业研究报告》南亚科记忆体报价大涨,DDR4补涨与高阶制程打开新成长\">《价值型投资 最新产业研究报告》南亚科记忆体报价大涨,DDR4补涨与高阶制程打开新成长</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-5096.html\" title=\"少了干扰本周台股全力作多 买台积电等老AI、还是南亚科等记忆体比较好?\">少了干扰本周台股全力作多 买台积电等老AI、还是南亚科等记忆体比较好?</a></li>\n    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    "createdAt": "2026-07-03T09:52:46.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-09-09T23:34:57.000Z"
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