天天财经

【袁志峰专栏】中国8月新增贷款逊预期

2026-10-28 03:51:11 网络 阅读(74)

今日推介 - 华润万象生活(1209, $38.32), 目标价$42.0, 止损价$36.5

【袁志峰专栏】中国8月新增贷款逊预期

1) 股市前景

港股连跌5日后,周一反弹,成交显著减少,南向资金维持净买入。今周重要事项包括美国议息及香港特首公布施政报吿。港股现价估值吸引,建议投资者长线买入。

2) 上日中港股市况总结

周一恒指低开104点,早段曾跌144点至24662点,其后辗转做好,午后最多曾涨121点,收报24917点,升112点或0.5%。成交额按日减16%至1926亿元,创逾4个月新低,8月份日均成交额2530亿元。

港股通南向资金净买入约45亿元。智谱(2513)、长飞光纤(6869)及联想(992)录得12.0、3.8及1.8亿元净买入。中芯国际(981)、Minimax(100)及阿里(9988)录得6.4、1.6及1.0亿元净卖出。9月以来累积净买入约298亿元,8月净买入约104亿元。

恒指升0.5%,成份股50升44跌1持平。翰森制药(3692)涨逾5%,为升幅最大蓝筹。药明生物(2269)、药明康德(2359)及中生制药(1177)涨逾4%。信达生物(1801)、百济神州(6160)及中国联通(762)涨逾3%。吉利汽车(175)、中银香港(2388)、新鸿基地产(16)、新东方(9901)及新奥能源(2688)升逾2%。建设银行(939)、港交所(388)及长和(1)升逾1%。龙湖集团(960)及华虹宏力(1347)跌逾5%及4%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。金沙中国(1928)、洛阳钼业(3993)、中国铝业(2600)、潍柴动力(2338)及信义玻璃(868)跌逾2%。中信股份(267)及中国宏桥(1378)跌逾1%。

恒生科指跌0.1%,收报4317点,成份股15升14跌1持平。大型科技股涨跌不一,阿里(9988)及快手(1024)跌逾1%及2%, 小米(1810)升逾3%。零跑汽车(9863)涨逾4%,为升幅最大成份股。蔚来(9866)、理想汽车(2015)、联想(992)、腾讯音乐(1698)及天数智芯(9903)升逾2%。海尔智家(6690)、小鹏集团(9868)及携程(9961)升逾1%。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)跌逾9%及6%,为跌幅最大成份股。华虹宏力(1347)跌逾4%。舜宇光学(2382)及商汤(20)跌逾3%。中芯国际(981)及比亚迪电子(285)跌逾2%。

板块方面,医药、电动车、电讯及燃气股上升,涨幅居前。翰森制药(3692)涨逾5%,药明生物(2269)及中生制药(1177)涨逾4%。零跑汽车(9863)升逾4%,吉利汽车(175)及蔚来(9866)升近3%。中国联通(762)及中国电信(728)升逾3%及1%。新奥能源(2688)及华润燃气(1193)升逾2%。

人工智能、晶片、航空及矿产股下跌,跌幅居前。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)跌逾9%及6%。华虹宏力(1347)及中芯国际(981)跌逾4%及2%。
中国国航(753)跌逾4%,东方航空(670)及南方航空(1055)跌逾3%。五矿资源(1208)及江西铜业(358)跌逾4%及3%。

周一上证指数低开0.5%,已是全日低位,早盘做好,最多曾倒升0.2%,午后偏软,收报3885.33点,跌0.1%。深证成指跌0.6%。科创50指数跌1.6%。沪深两市总成交约16300亿元(人民币·下同),创逾5个月新低,环比减少约3400亿元,8月份日均成交额约22400亿元。

3) 宏观/行业讯息

中国人民银行公布,今年首8个月新增贷款10.44万亿元(人民币‧下同)。按此计算,8月人民币贷款增加600亿元,远逊市场预期的约4000亿元。8月底,人民币贷款余额282.35万亿元,按年增长4.9%。8月底,广义货币(M2)余额356.81万亿元,按年增长7.5%。(信报)

有关选股表现,欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合: www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model

https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK

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      "id": 40,
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    "content": "<p>今日推介 - 华润万象生活(1209, $38.32), 目标价$42.0, 止损价$36.5</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6606340/l/371746ca70fc44c5e5d2d9cd76db4f7b.jpg\" alt=\"【袁志峰专栏】中国8月新增贷款逊预期\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>1) 股市前景</p>\n\n<p>港股连跌5日后,周一反弹,成交显著减少,南向资金维持净买入。今周重要事项包括美国议息及香港特首公布施政报吿。港股现价估值吸引,建议投资者长线买入。</p>\n\n<p>2) 上日中港股市况总结</p>\n\n<p>周一恒指低开104点,早段曾跌144点至24662点,其后辗转做好,午后最多曾涨121点,收报24917点,升112点或0.5%。成交额按日减16%至1926亿元,创逾4个月新低,8月份日均成交额2530亿元。</p>\n\n<p>港股通南向资金净买入约45亿元。智谱(2513)、长飞光纤(6869)及联想(992)录得12.0、3.8及1.8亿元净买入。中芯国际(981)、Minimax(100)及阿里(9988)录得6.4、1.6及1.0亿元净卖出。9月以来累积净买入约298亿元,8月净买入约104亿元。</p>\n\n<p>恒指升0.5%,成份股50升44跌1持平。翰森制药(3692)涨逾5%,为升幅最大蓝筹。药明生物(2269)、药明康德(2359)及中生制药(1177)涨逾4%。信达生物(1801)、百济神州(6160)及中国联通(762)涨逾3%。吉利汽车(175)、中银香港(2388)、新鸿基地产(16)、新东方(9901)及新奥能源(2688)升逾2%。建设银行(939)、港交所(388)及长和(1)升逾1%。龙湖集团(960)及华虹宏力(1347)跌逾5%及4%,为跌幅最大蓝筹。金沙中国(1928)、洛阳钼业(3993)、中国铝业(2600)、潍柴动力(2338)及信义玻璃(868)跌逾2%。中信股份(267)及中国宏桥(1378)跌逾1%。</p>\n\n<p>恒生科指跌0.1%,收报4317点,成份股15升14跌1持平。大型科技股涨跌不一,阿里(9988)及快手(1024)跌逾1%及2%, 小米(1810)升逾3%。零跑汽车(9863)涨逾4%,为升幅最大成份股。蔚来(9866)、理想汽车(2015)、联想(992)、腾讯音乐(1698)及天数智芯(9903)升逾2%。海尔智家(6690)、小鹏集团(9868)及携程(9961)升逾1%。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)跌逾9%及6%,为跌幅最大成份股。华虹宏力(1347)跌逾4%。舜宇光学(2382)及商汤(20)跌逾3%。中芯国际(981)及比亚迪电子(285)跌逾2%。</p>\n\n<p>板块方面,医药、电动车、电讯及燃气股上升,涨幅居前。翰森制药(3692)涨逾5%,药明生物(2269)及中生制药(1177)涨逾4%。零跑汽车(9863)升逾4%,吉利汽车(175)及蔚来(9866)升近3%。中国联通(762)及中国电信(728)升逾3%及1%。新奥能源(2688)及华润燃气(1193)升逾2%。</p>\n\n<p>人工智能、晶片、航空及矿产股下跌,跌幅居前。智谱(2513)及Minimax(100)跌逾9%及6%。华虹宏力(1347)及中芯国际(981)跌逾4%及2%。<br>\n中国国航(753)跌逾4%,东方航空(670)及南方航空(1055)跌逾3%。五矿资源(1208)及江西铜业(358)跌逾4%及3%。</p>\n\n<p>周一上证指数低开0.5%,已是全日低位,早盘做好,最多曾倒升0.2%,午后偏软,收报3885.33点,跌0.1%。深证成指跌0.6%。科创50指数跌1.6%。沪深两市总成交约16300亿元(人民币&middot;下同),创逾5个月新低,环比减少约3400亿元,8月份日均成交额约22400亿元。</p>\n\n<p>3) 宏观/行业讯息</p>\n\n<p>中国人民银行公布,今年首8个月新增贷款10.44万亿元(人民币‧下同)。按此计算,8月人民币贷款增加600亿元,远逊市场预期的约4000亿元。8月底,人民币贷款余额282.35万亿元,按年增长4.9%。8月底,广义货币(M2)余额356.81万亿元,按年增长7.5%。(信报)</p>\n\n<p>有关选股表现,欢迎阅覧本公司的港股模拟交易组合: <a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"0\" data-outlook-id=\"a071582a-828d-4cfe-bf88-204115703341\" href=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\" id=\"x_ms-outlook-mobile-sharing-link-anchor-7f60a2bf-f86c-4ab8-ba34-c55434c979d5\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"http://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model\">www.anuesec.com/zh-HK/Page/dt-model</a></p>\n\n<p><a data-auth=\"NotApplicable\" data-linkindex=\"1\" data-outlook-id=\"1d8d7948-ec8b-4f00-8ee2-b5029aa4274b\" href=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK\">https://www.anuesec.com/zh-HK</a> </p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-931.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-506.51点至24821.72点,跌幅2%\">盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-506.51点至24821.72点,跌幅2%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-21171.html\" title=\"【袁志峰专栏】中国移动(941)季度业绩逊预期\">【袁志峰专栏】中国移动(941)季度业绩逊预期</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-8480.html\" title=\"AI价值链募资占港股新股市场过半 香港形成硬科技资本新坐标\">AI价值链募资占港股新股市场过半 香港形成硬科技资本新坐标</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-3940.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-153.34点至4252.58点,跌幅3.48%\">盘中速报 - 恒生科技指数下跌-153.34点至4252.58点,跌幅3.48%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-3885.html\" title=\"盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-538.63点至22538.28点,跌幅2.33%\">盘中速报 - 恒生指数下跌-538.63点至22538.28点,跌幅2.33%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/hk/article-5333.html\" title=\"腾讯大幅减持快手股票至9.37% 不再是主要股东\">腾讯大幅减持快手股票至9.37% 不再是主要股东</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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    "createdAt": "2026-09-14T20:50:02.000Z",
    "updatedAt": "2026-10-27T19:51:11.000Z"
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