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外汇网格交易法——震荡行情躺赢的秘诀!

2026-09-11 12:26:44 阅读(165)

曾有人统计,从市场趋势而言,80%的时间都是处于震荡趋势的。

诚然,一个数字未必能代表所有市场的共性。

但历数A股,美股,外汇,新兴的数字货币市场,震荡市的平均比例也达到了50%。那么震荡市中如何保有本金,获取利润呢?

今天小编给大家介绍一种适用于震荡行情的交易策略——网格交易法。

何为网格交易法?

据说上世纪四十年代的某一天,信息论之父申农在黑板上给大家演示:任何一个价位买进资金的50%,也就是说资金数量:股票市值 = 50% :50%。股票价格上涨一定幅度就卖出一部分股票,保持剩余的资金数量:剩余股票市值 = 50% :50%;反之股票价格下跌一定幅度,就用剩余资金买进一部分股票,始终保持剩余资金数量:剩余股票市值=50%:50%。用这个办法来对付股票价格的随机走势,长期交易是盈利的。

由于网格的核心是设置格子和每格投资的份额。在投入资金不变的情况,格子越多,每个格子,成交的可能性就越大,但是相应地,每一次波动就赚取得越少。

网格交易的操作攻略分四步:标的选择、建立底仓、设置网格间距密度、确定每格资金量、执行交易。

网格交易的关键点

(1) 选择标的

网格交易要选择长期上涨确定性高的标的,在单边下行的趋势里任何多头策略都无法盈利。

最好的标的就是指数ETF基金,ETF指数基金是一篮子股票的集合,散户投资ETF这只“大股票”可以免去挑选个股的烦恼。其次还可以选一些大盘蓝筹股,但我更推荐ETF,因为指数ETF长期上涨确定性比股票更高。

同时不害怕黑天鹅事件,指数ETF是在股票账户能够买到的,比如新能车ETF,证券ETF,通信ETF。这些都是很好的标的,而且每份的金额类似于基金。便于交易。

(2) 建立底仓

操作网格最好的时机就是在熊市,我们首先要建立一个用于网格交易的底仓,这个根据市场估值而定,比如现在估值较低则底仓可以达到40-60%。

(3)确定网格间距密度

比如易方达500ETF收盘价为5元左右,据中证500的历史最低点位来看,未来将有25%的下跌空间,因此我们设置易方达500ETF底部价为3.75元,价格间隔为1.25元,顶部价则设为6.25元。

(4)每格份额

也就是每格的交易量。具体结合自己的资金。太密了容易频繁成交。手续费是一部分损失。下跌的时候会容易过早买入。

网格交易法局限性

不过,在投资中从来没有万能的策略,网格交易法也有它的局限性。

1. 趋势决定策略的成败。在长期的震荡的上涨趋势中策略才能获得满意的回报。

2. 底仓价格设定在安全边际内。在估值顶部设立底仓价格风险极大,会造成很大的损失。

3. 牛市表现不佳,分散的仓位策略,没有依据价格形态来修改网格,都可能在牛市中跑输大

所以需要真正的对网格有所了解,不仅是概念上的,还需要去模拟和回测,并在实战中感受到网格交易法风骚的魅力以及他的局限。

网格交易其实也是量化交易的一种,频繁的交易如果需要人工来盯盘那就太累了。网格交易法是至今我发现的新手唯一可以战胜市场的方法。简单,还不用盯盘,不会干扰日常工作。

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          "id": 57,
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