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Meta有望上涨50%?这个被忽视的AI「外卡」可能成关键

2026-10-27 03:34:10 网络 阅读(67)

《MarketWatch》报导,Meta Platforms(META-US)股价再次受到公司高额AI支出计划的压抑。在7月初因推出新模型而短暂获得提振后,Meta股价过去一个月下跌6%。

Meta有望上涨50%?这个被忽视的AI「外卡」可能成关键

不过,Evercore ISI分析师Mark Mahaney认为,Meta可能握有一项从2027年开始、每年可带来220亿美元总营收的商机。

Mahaney在周一的一份报告中,将Meta目标价从原本的820美元上调至860美元,理由是该公司可能将多余的AI运算能力出售给外部买家,从中取得潜在的上行空间。Meta周二收盘上涨1.9%,至570.05美元。

Meta是唯一一家没有公开云端业务的超大规模云端服务商(hyperscaler),但近期报导显示,该公司可能推出新的「Meta Compute」部门,将资料中心的运算能力用于内部以外的用途,借此实现商业化。公司目标是在2027年之前让14GW的运算容量上线,并计划自行生产Iris晶片。

Mahaney写道,「在几乎所有具备一定规模的营运商都已供不应求的市场中,Meta是极少数有可能向市场出售多余运算容量的业者。」

尽管Mahaney并不预期Meta会成为像Nebius或CoreWeave那样的完整新型云端业者(neocloud),但他认为Meta Compute将会是「刻意只拿出一小部分潜在剩余运算容量,进行策略性商业化」。

Mahaney表示,Meta管理层似乎刻意压低市场预期。执行长祖克柏(Mark Zuckerberg)在最近一次财报电话会议上表示,Meta确实收到愿意以溢价购买运算能力的报价,但「如果只是把所有运算能力都卖出去、赚取短期利润,那将是愚蠢的做法。」因为「直接销售智慧所能取得的利润率,将持续显著高于直接销售运算能力。」

根据Mahaney估算,如果Meta出售多余的运算容量,只要将0.5GW至1GW的容量投入市场,每年就能带来110亿至220亿美元的外部营收。他补充,出租1GW的运算容量只会占Meta 2027年14GW总容量目标的7%,同时每股获利最多可增加4.32美元。

Mahaney认为,投资人应该把潜在的运算业务视为一项「买权(call option)」。「我们会把运算能力的选择权视为持有Meta这项AI基础设施投资的理由之一,但我们不会以『完整的』超大规模云端运算长期收入流作为投资估值的基础。」

根据Mahaney,Meta目前股价相当于分析师未来12个月每股获利预估的17倍,距离过去三年最低估值倍数不到10%。他认为,Meta「完全有能力」证明其AI支出计划能带来投资报酬。

Mahaney表示,「过去两年,Meta已经明确证明,它能够有效部署AI,并实质改善客户体验。」而Meta Compute部门的可能性「依然存在。」

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      "title": "美光财报为SK海力士即将公布的业绩 透露哪些讯号?",
      "shortTitle": "美光财报为SK海力士即将公布的业绩 透露哪些讯号?",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6620046/l/bb6e5d4af1a320cabb117df3c45c98f2.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-02T03:10:03.000Z",
      "description": "美光财报优于预期,2027年绝大多数HBM产能已签约售罄。
策略客户长期财务承诺显示AI记忆体需求强劲、供应短缺恐延续至2028年。
SK海力士10月27日法说受关注,华尔街点评「强力买进」。",
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      "name": "美股",
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    {
      "id": 20820,
      "title": "美银预测Fed 10月再升息!通膨升温添变数",
      "shortTitle": "美银预测Fed 10月再升息!通膨升温添变数",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6631672/l/1f06c212c5a91fcff8d61c766bdfbe7a.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-10-17T13:00:05.000Z",
      "description": "美银称9月CPI年增3.7%、核心2.6%,通膨扩散至商品与服务,重申Fed 10月可能升息
美银追踪9月核心PCE月增估值由0.22%上调至0.32%,主因能源、AI相关科技商品与租金压力
市场对10月升息机率升至约47%;花旗估12月升息,Daly称Fed无迫切10月行动需要",
      "pv": 231,
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      "name": "美股",
      "path": "/new/mg"
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      "id": 9195,
      "title": "库克一句话释讯号 记忆体晶片股触底了吗?",
      "shortTitle": "库克一句话释讯号 记忆体晶片股触底了吗?",
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      "description": "苹果执行长库克留给股市的最后一份「礼物」,可能就是为大跌后的记忆体晶片股带来一个值得布局的底部讯号。策略师 Adam Turnquist 表示,投资人可以将苹果对记忆体价格的评论,解读为近期记忆体晶片股的抛售可能已经过头。",
      "pv": 213,
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      "name": "美股",
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      "id": 11247,
      "title": "OpenAI和Anthropic表现定生死!《大卖空》真实主角示警:AI荣景存在致命弱点",
      "shortTitle": "OpenAI和Anthropic表现定生死!《大卖空》真实主",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6576088/l/37436f9dd782627e14ab94d6d2976534.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-08-13T21:00:06.000Z",
      "description": "华尔街知名投资人艾斯曼(Steve Eisman)最新警告,本轮人工智慧热潮如今愈发依赖两家企业的发展命运:OpenAI与Anthropic。艾斯曼现在也是播客《艾斯曼真实投资法则》主持人,此前曾任纽伯格伯曼高级投资组合经理。 这位因全球金融危机前夕押注做空美国房市而声名大噪的投资人周二(11日)向《CNBC》表示,微软、亚马逊、谷歌及甲骨文四家科技巨头,他们的AI相关营收中约七成均来自上述两家AI新创公司,OpenAI与Anthropic贡献的营收占四家云端运算业务总收入的比重更达到25%至3",
      "pv": 209,
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      "name": "美股",
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      "id": 9197,
      "title": "美股狂欢别高兴太早?华许引爆美债「熊市陡峭化」警讯",
      "shortTitle": "美股狂欢别高兴太早?华许引爆美债「熊市陡峭化」警讯",
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      "description": "《华尔街日报》专栏作家 Spencer Jakab 警告,这次走势并非经济复苏带来的「金发女孩时刻」,反而可能反映市场对通膨、财政及联准会公信力的疑虑。",
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      "name": "美股",
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      "id": 575,
      "title": "华尔街掀AI培训热潮!单日2.5万美元课程爆满",
      "shortTitle": "华尔街掀AI培训热潮!单日2.5万美元课程爆满",
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      "pv": 195,
      "pinyin": "mg",
      "name": "美股",
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      "id": 2669,
      "title": "联发科独家接单!郭明?:谷歌开发TPU v9晶片加强版「Triggerfish」 主打AI推理能力升级",
      "shortTitle": "联发科独家接单!郭明?:谷歌开发TPU v9晶片加强版「Tr",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6507163/l/cae5e1efafe845972f0c8c95ededf10d.jpg",
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      "description": "天风国际证券分析师郭明?今 (22) 日表示,谷歌将在代号「Humufish」的 TPU v9 自研 AI 晶片基础上,推出一款主打 AI 推理能力升级的改版晶片,代号疑似为「Triggerfish」,并由联发科独家取得新增订单。 郭明?指出,Triggerfish 旨在缓解 AI ASIC 常见的「CPU 墙」与「记忆体墙 (Memory Wall)」瓶颈。 相较于 Humufish,Triggerfish 片内 SRAM 快取容量提升至 2-3 倍,可将更大规模活跃工作集保留于 TPU,",
      "pv": 184,
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      "name": "美股",
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      "id": 1196,
      "title": "Fed二把手:劳动市场展韧性 抗通膨仍是首要任务",
      "shortTitle": "Fed二把手:劳动市场展韧性 抗通膨仍是首要任务",
      "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6472307/l/edb7e57d6605c9f7768a11b1b1701ecf.jpg",
      "createdAt": "2026-05-28T09:00:04.000Z",
      "description": "美国联准会 (Fed) 副主席 Philip Jefferson 今 (28) 日在东京演讲时明确表示,鉴于美国劳动市场对近期能源冲击展现出「很强的韧性」,货币政策应更聚焦于将通膨率拉回 2% 的目标水准。 这是 Jefferson 自上周五 (22 日)Fed 新任主席华许上任后,首度公开评论货币政策前景。 Jefferson 说:「每次进行政策决策时,我都绝对专注于物价稳定。但在职责范围内,我也必须考量劳动市场的状况。」 他强调,当前美国劳动市场的强劲表现,赋予 Fed 更多空间来对抗顽固的",
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      "title": "苹果、华为、小米促销 在中国市场降价千元",
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      "description": "近日苹果、华为、小米三大手机厂商在中国市场展开降价促销。",
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      "name": "美股",
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      "id": 7231,
      "title": "华尔街又在押美股七雄!神秘指标透露财报季最大赢家",
      "shortTitle": "华尔街又在押美股七雄!神秘指标透露财报季最大赢家",
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      "description": "美股财报季即将进入高潮,一项鲜少受到关注的选择权指标显示,市场正大举押注「美股七雄」(Magnificent Seven) 有望在财报公布后带动股价强势表现,并成为标普 500 指数挑战历史新高的重要推手。",
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      "name": "美股",
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    "title": "Meta有望上涨50%?这个被忽视的AI「外卡」可能成关键",
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    "description": "Meta Platforms(META-US)股价再次受到公司高额AI支出计划的压抑。在7月初因推出新模型而短暂获得提振后,Meta股价过去一个月下跌6%。",
    "img": "https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586856/l/0cac45994b345695f778f6e3c9db4a8f.jpg",
    "content": "<p>《MarketWatch》报导,Meta Platforms(META-US)股价再次受到公司高额AI支出计划的压抑。在7月初因推出新模型而短暂获得提振后,Meta股价过去一个月下跌6%。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6586856/l/0cac45994b345695f778f6e3c9db4a8f.jpg\" alt=\"Meta有望上涨50%?这个被忽视的AI「外卡」可能成关键\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>不过,Evercore ISI分析师Mark Mahaney认为,Meta可能握有一项从2027年开始、每年可带来220亿美元总营收的商机。</p>\n\n<p>Mahaney在周一的一份报告中,将Meta目标价从原本的820美元上调至860美元,理由是该公司可能将多余的AI运算能力出售给外部买家,从中取得潜在的上行空间。Meta周二收盘上涨1.9%,至570.05美元。</p>\n\n<p>Meta是唯一一家没有公开云端业务的超大规模云端服务商(hyperscaler),但近期报导显示,该公司可能推出新的「Meta Compute」部门,将资料中心的运算能力用于内部以外的用途,借此实现商业化。公司目标是在2027年之前让14GW的运算容量上线,并计划自行生产Iris晶片。</p>\n\n<p>Mahaney写道,「在几乎所有具备一定规模的营运商都已供不应求的市场中,Meta是极少数有可能向市场出售多余运算容量的业者。」</p>\n\n<p>尽管Mahaney并不预期Meta会成为像Nebius或CoreWeave那样的完整新型云端业者(neocloud),但他认为Meta Compute将会是「刻意只拿出一小部分潜在剩余运算容量,进行策略性商业化」。</p>\n\n<p>Mahaney表示,Meta管理层似乎刻意压低市场预期。执行长祖克柏(Mark Zuckerberg)在最近一次财报电话会议上表示,Meta确实收到愿意以溢价购买运算能力的报价,但「如果只是把所有运算能力都卖出去、赚取短期利润,那将是愚蠢的做法。」因为「直接销售智慧所能取得的利润率,将持续显著高于直接销售运算能力。」</p>\n\n<p>根据Mahaney估算,如果Meta出售多余的运算容量,只要将0.5GW至1GW的容量投入市场,每年就能带来110亿至220亿美元的外部营收。他补充,出租1GW的运算容量只会占Meta 2027年14GW总容量目标的7%,同时每股获利最多可增加4.32美元。</p>\n\n<p>Mahaney认为,投资人应该把潜在的运算业务视为一项「买权(call option)」。「我们会把运算能力的选择权视为持有Meta这项AI基础设施投资的理由之一,但我们不会以『完整的』超大规模云端运算长期收入流作为投资估值的基础。」</p>\n\n<p>根据Mahaney,Meta目前股价相当于分析师未来12个月每股获利预估的17倍,距离过去三年最低估值倍数不到10%。他认为,Meta「完全有能力」证明其AI支出计划能带来投资报酬。</p>\n\n<p>Mahaney表示,「过去两年,Meta已经明确证明,它能够有效部署AI,并实质改善客户体验。」而Meta Compute部门的可能性「依然存在。」</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-9760.html\" title=\"AI资料量暴增 辉达推动让GPU直接读取储存装置、速度逼近记忆体\">AI资料量暴增 辉达推动让GPU直接读取储存装置、速度逼近记忆体</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-5540.html\" title=\"AI大玩家一夜洗牌:美光、Sandisk大涨 七巨头遭估值拷问\">AI大玩家一夜洗牌:美光、Sandisk大涨 七巨头遭估值拷问</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-8520.html\" title=\"〈财报〉少送亚马逊包裹反而更赚!UPS上季业绩超预期、上调全年财测\">〈财报〉少送亚马逊包裹反而更赚!UPS上季业绩超预期、上调全年财测</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15856.html\" title=\"人类不上网了?5年后AI代理上网流量恐是人类1000倍 马斯克押注星链抢攻机器时代\">人类不上网了?5年后AI代理上网流量恐是人类1000倍 马斯克押注星链抢攻机器时代</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-15436.html\" title=\"高房贷利率抑制买气 美国待售房屋供应量创10年新高\">高房贷利率抑制买气 美国待售房屋供应量创10年新高</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/mg/article-43.html\" title=\"福特变身资料中心概念股!跨足储能市场引爆「迷因魂」 股价两日喷发20%\">福特变身资料中心概念股!跨足储能市场引爆「迷因魂」 股价两日喷发20%</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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