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《价值型投资 最新产业研究报告》双鸿(3324-TW)、奇𬭎(3017-TW)AI伺服器升级,液冷散热需求持续放大

2026-10-27 21:50:34 网络 阅读(90)

上周五与本周一提醒这个逆势抗跌的族群 - 散热双雄,基本面也很不错的,我们一起来看看。

《价值型投资 最新产业研究报告》双鸿(3324-TW)、奇𬭎(3017-TW)AI伺服器升级,液冷散热需求持续放大

AI 伺服器现在最大的问题之一,就是热。晶片算力越强,耗电越高,散热压力也跟着上来。以前靠风扇吹风就能处理,但到了新一代 AI 机柜,单靠气冷已经越来越吃力。资料中心开始加快导入液冷,让冷却液直接把热带走,散热产业也从传统零件,往更高单价的系统方案升级。

双鸿 (3324-TW) 和奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 会被市场放大检视,原因就在这里。它们不是单纯做风扇,而是已经切进 AI 伺服器液冷供应链。

先看奇𬭎 (3017-TW)。奇𬭎(3017-TW) 今年营运最明显的变化,是水冷模组开始放量,良率也拉上来。5 月单月税后净利达 31.52 亿元,年增 132.28%,单月每股赚 8.03 元;第二季营收 491.2 亿元,创单季新高。

这里比营收更关键的,其实是良率。奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 第二季水冷模组良率已经提升到 90% 以上,代表生产变顺,重工和报废成本下降,获利就会比营收成长更有弹性。

下半年奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 主要看 AI 伺服器新平台拉货。辉达新平台的水冷板、机柜水管开始大量出货,亚马逊云端自研 AI 训练晶片第三代专案也会带来需求。公司也把水冷模组月产能规划从 20 万组拉到 100 万组,这不是小幅扩线,而是为了接更大的长期订单。

除了伺服器,奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 也切入手机和平板用的超薄均热片。这类产品可以把手机晶片热量快速摊开,避免局部过热。现在占比还不大,但若未来在高阶手机、折叠机、平板放量,也会让营收来源更分散。

双鸿 (3324-TW) 走的是另一条路。双鸿 (3324-TW) 第二季营收 86.99 亿元,季增 1.7%、年增 63.9%,同样创下单季新高。第二季毛利率受到传统电脑与显示卡淡季影响,没有完全放大,但下半年液冷新品出货,才是后面真正要看的重点。

双鸿 (3324-TW) 的优势,是液冷产品线比较完整。从水冷板、机柜水管,到水冷控制主机都有布局。水冷板负责贴近晶片吸热,机柜水管负责分送冷却液,水冷控制主机则像整套系统的帮浦和监控中心,负责让冷却液稳定循环。

对大型云端客户来说,这种完整方案很重要。AI 机柜不是换一个零件就好,而是散热、管路、电源和监控都要一起配合。供应商如果能一次提供更多关键零件,客户导入速度会更快,合作也比较容易加深。

双鸿 (3324-TW) 下半年会跟着 GB300、辉达新一代平台,以及美系云端客户自研 AI 晶片专案往上走。记忆体专用液冷板、水冷控制主机这些高单价产品如果出货顺利,对平均单价和毛利结构都有帮助。

不过只要 AI 伺服器功耗继续往上,液冷散热就还会是资料中心升级的重要方向。双鸿 (3324-TW) 和奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 是 AI 机柜从气冷走向液冷时,最直接受惠的供应链代表。想第一时间知道哪些股票可以逢低进场,请先加入庆龙老师官方 LINE,输入 @ai8085 或点击文章下方连结, 盘中 & 盘后会有二通免费 CALL 讯,带你掌握现在看见未来。

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文章来源: 蔡庆龙分析师 - 摩尔投顾

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      "id": 40,
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    "content": "<p>上周五与本周一提醒这个逆势抗跌的族群 - 散热双雄,基本面也很不错的,我们一起来看看。</p>\n<p style=\"text-align:center;\"><img src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6541423/l/4c0b1398c5ebf5bed1fedf59acd52927.jpg\" alt=\"《价值型投资 最新产业研究报告》双鸿(3324-TW)、奇𬭎(3017-TW)AI伺服器升级,液冷散热需求持续放大\" style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\"></p>\n\n\n<p>AI 伺服器现在最大的问题之一,就是热。晶片算力越强,耗电越高,散热压力也跟着上来。以前靠风扇吹风就能处理,但到了新一代 AI 机柜,单靠气冷已经越来越吃力。资料中心开始加快导入液冷,让冷却液直接把热带走,散热产业也从传统零件,往更高单价的系统方案升级。</p>\n\n<p>双鸿 (3324-TW) 和奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 会被市场放大检视,原因就在这里。它们不是单纯做风扇,而是已经切进 AI 伺服器液冷供应链。</p>\n\n<p>先看奇𬭎 (3017-TW)。奇𬭎(3017-TW) 今年营运最明显的变化,是水冷模组开始放量,良率也拉上来。5 月单月税后净利达 31.52 亿元,年增 132.28%,单月每股赚 8.03 元;第二季营收 491.2 亿元,创单季新高。</p>\n\n<p>这里比营收更关键的,其实是良率。奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 第二季水冷模组良率已经提升到 90% 以上,代表生产变顺,重工和报废成本下降,获利就会比营收成长更有弹性。</p>\n\n<p>下半年奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 主要看 AI 伺服器新平台拉货。辉达新平台的水冷板、机柜水管开始大量出货,亚马逊云端自研 AI 训练晶片第三代专案也会带来需求。公司也把水冷模组月产能规划从 20 万组拉到 100 万组,这不是小幅扩线,而是为了接更大的长期订单。</p>\n\n<p>除了伺服器,奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 也切入手机和平板用的超薄均热片。这类产品可以把手机晶片热量快速摊开,避免局部过热。现在占比还不大,但若未来在高阶手机、折叠机、平板放量,也会让营收来源更分散。</p>\n\n<p>双鸿 (3324-TW) 走的是另一条路。双鸿 (3324-TW) 第二季营收 86.99 亿元,季增 1.7%、年增 63.9%,同样创下单季新高。第二季毛利率受到传统电脑与显示卡淡季影响,没有完全放大,但下半年液冷新品出货,才是后面真正要看的重点。</p>\n\n<p>双鸿 (3324-TW) 的优势,是液冷产品线比较完整。从水冷板、机柜水管,到水冷控制主机都有布局。水冷板负责贴近晶片吸热,机柜水管负责分送冷却液,水冷控制主机则像整套系统的帮浦和监控中心,负责让冷却液稳定循环。</p>\n\n<p>对大型云端客户来说,这种完整方案很重要。AI 机柜不是换一个零件就好,而是散热、管路、电源和监控都要一起配合。供应商如果能一次提供更多关键零件,客户导入速度会更快,合作也比较容易加深。</p>\n\n<p>双鸿 (3324-TW) 下半年会跟着 GB300、辉达新一代平台,以及美系云端客户自研 AI 晶片专案往上走。记忆体专用液冷板、水冷控制主机这些高单价产品如果出货顺利,对平均单价和毛利结构都有帮助。</p>\n\n<p>不过只要 AI 伺服器功耗继续往上,液冷散热就还会是资料中心升级的重要方向。双鸿 (3324-TW) 和奇𬭎 (3017-TW) 是 AI 机柜从气冷走向液冷时,最直接受惠的供应链代表。想第一时间知道哪些股票可以逢低进场,请先加入庆龙老师官方 LINE,输入 @ai8085 或点击文章下方连结, 盘中 & 盘后会有二通免费 CALL 讯,带你掌握现在看见未来。</p>\n\n<p>「价值型投资」最新盘后解盘节目</p>\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/2ZUrL0yA7yE\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"537\" data-mime=\"image/jpeg\" data-ratio=\"1.415270018621974\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6541423/m/445d6505010c5b8af44be0df3dd4818c.jpg\" data-width=\"760\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6541423/l/445d6505010c5b8af44be0df3dd4818c.jpg\" srcset=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6541423/l/445d6505010c5b8af44be0df3dd4818c.jpg 1x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6541423/xl/445d6505010c5b8af44be0df3dd4818c.jpg 2x,https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6541423/xxl/445d6505010c5b8af44be0df3dd4818c.jpg 3x\"></figure>\n\n<p>每天二 + 一则免费 CALL 讯</p>\n\n<p>加入价值型投资 LINE 官方帐号: <a href=\"https://lin.ee/3rueKmz\">https://lin.ee/3rueKmz</a></p>\n\n<p>文章来源: 蔡庆龙分析师 - 摩尔投顾</p>\n\n<p class=\"warning\">本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券<br>\n无不当之财务利益关系 以往之绩效不保证未来获利<br>\n投资人应独立判断 审慎评估并自负投资风险</p>\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n  <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n  <ul>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-20205.html\" title=\"联茂(6213)今日大涨7%!原料瓶颈解除,CCL涨价效益延续,下一波获利驱动力即将出现\">联茂(6213)今日大涨7%!原料瓶颈解除,CCL涨价效益延续,下一波获利驱动力即将出现</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-8812.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:中光电(5371-TW)目标价调升至88元,幅度约4.76%\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:中光电(5371-TW)目标价调升至88元,幅度约4.76%</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-20128.html\" title=\"巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:富世达(6805-TW)EPS预估上修至63.07元,预估目标价为2717.5元\">巨亨速报 - Factset 最新调查:富世达(6805-TW)EPS预估上修至63.07元,预估目标价为2717.5元</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-18598.html\" title=\"〈房产〉全台高龄人口达479万人突破2成 台北市达24.76%居22县市之冠\">〈房产〉全台高龄人口达479万人突破2成 台北市达24.76%居22县市之冠</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-22194.html\" title=\"〈房产〉AI红利劲道强 国城建设洪平森:房市最坏市况将过 还有新投资规划中\">〈房产〉AI红利劲道强 国城建设洪平森:房市最坏市况将过 还有新投资规划中</a></li>\n    <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-9649.html\" title=\"AI资金回流谁受惠? 点名9档CPO、记忆体、散热飙股\">AI资金回流谁受惠? 点名9档CPO、记忆体、散热飙股</a></li>\n  </ul>\n</div>",
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