大盘跌破季线与44000！二次打底关键防线曝光，逢低布局时机到！

大盘加剧震荡跌破季线与整数关卡，受国际科技股波动拖累，市场洗盘力道强劲，大幅反弹后的二次打底属于筑底常态，只要关键型态支撑未破，无须过度悲观，随着筹码沉淀，风险与机会并存的波段布局契机已悄然浮现！

〈台股跌破季线失守 44000 点　42200 点支撑才是观察重点〉

台股今天盘中震荡明显加剧，终场下跌 1195 点，跌幅 2.67%，柜买同步下跌 3.69%，成交金额萎缩至 7924 亿元，正如智霖老师先前分享的观点，指数在技术面展开反弹后，势必面临短中期均线下弯，以及高档扣抵值所带来的压力，目前大盘已顺势跌破季线，并暂时失守选择权多头防线 44000 点整数关卡，短线市场信心确实需要时间修复，大幅反弹之后出现回测，甚至进行二次打底，本来就是盘势筑底过程中的正常现象，不能看到下跌就直接认定多头结束，接下来观察型态趋势线 42200 点能否守稳，倘若再度失守，操作上才需要进一步转为谨慎。

〈科技巨头资本支出引发疑虑　台股进入筹码沉淀期〉

国际市场目前最担心的，不是科技产业没有成长，而是科技巨头投入大量人工智慧资本支出之后，能否顺利转化为获利与自由现金流，再加上原油价格与美债殖利率波动，全球股市的洗盘幅度自然随之放大，不过美股那斯达克指数目前仍稳健守在 25000 点的多头型态之上，长期架构尚未遭到实质破坏，因此判断目前是全球科技股进入高档震荡与评价重新调整，不是产业趋势全面反转。台股也是同样的道理，经历前一波杠杆筹码清洗之后，目前进入横盘震荡与重新沉淀的阶段，这种行情最考验的是投资耐心，持股比重、进场位置与资金控管，都要比过去更加精准。

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〈优质个股消化均线反压，震荡中重新寻找布局价值〉

ABF 载板指标厂欣兴 (3037-TW)，昨天已提醒股价正在面对月均线压力，今天短线未能顺利站稳，因此出现拉回整理，不过从人工智慧伺服器、高阶 ABF 载板需求，以及中长线评价角度来看，目前位阶已逐步具备分批逢低布局的投资价值。散热模组指标厂奇𬭎(3017-TW) 早盘一度展现逆势抗跌气势，后续仍受到大盘走低拖累而回档，技术面上正在消化季线反压，光通讯指标厂华星光 (4979-TW) 盘中一度触及涨停，之后因短线筹码换手而收敛涨幅，先前融资维持率已降至相对低档，筹码历经清洗，后续只要产业趋势延续，股价修复弹性仍值得持续追踪。

多头中长线发展并未熄灭，但现在不是盲目追价的阶段，而是重新检查持股、等待支撑、保留资金弹性的时候，震荡整理结束之后，真正具有产业成长、基本面支撑与筹码优势的族群，才有机会率先走出下一段波段行情，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，即时资讯都会在 APP 内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。

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文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾

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无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利
投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险

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style=\"width:50%;height:auto;border-radius:6px;margin:15px auto;display:block;\">\n\n\n〈台股跌破季线失守 44000 点　42200 点支撑才是观察重点〉\n\n台股今天盘中震荡明显加剧，终场下跌 1195 点，跌幅 2.67%，柜买同步下跌 3.69%，成交金额萎缩至 7924 亿元，正如<a href=\"https://news.cnyes.com/tag/%E9%99%B3%E6%99%BA%E9%9C%96\">智霖老师</a>先前分享的观点，指数在技术面展开反弹后，势必面临短中期均线下弯，以及高档扣抵值所带来的压力，目前大盘已顺势跌破季线，并暂时失守选择权多头防线 44000 点整数关卡，短线市场信心确实需要时间修复，大幅反弹之后出现回测，甚至进行二次打底，本来就是盘势筑底过程中的正常现象，不能看到下跌就直接认定多头结束，接下来观察型态趋势线 42200 点能否守稳，倘若再度失守，操作上才需要进一步转为谨慎。\n\n〈科技巨头资本支出引发疑虑　台股进入筹码沉淀期〉\n\n国际市场目前最担心的，不是科技产业没有成长，而是科技巨头投入大量人工智慧资本支出之后，能否顺利转化为获利与自由现金流，再加上原油价格与美债殖利率波动，全球股市的洗盘幅度自然随之放大，不过美股那斯达克指数目前仍稳健守在 25000 点的多头型态之上，长期架构尚未遭到实质破坏，因此判断目前是全球科技股进入高档震荡与评价重新调整，不是产业趋势全面反转。台股也是同样的道理，经历前一波杠杆筹码清洗之后，目前进入横盘震荡与重新沉淀的阶段，这种行情最考验的是投资耐心，持股比重、进场位置与资金控管，都要比过去更加精准。\n\n〈免费下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，掌握第一手盘势资讯与信用筹码名单〉\n\nAPP 选股会员每月限额招收，名额有限，每周都会提供最新「信用筹码疑虑名单」，邀请您点选连结下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/zwrii\">https://lihi.cc/zwrii</a>\n\n<figure><img data-height=\"156\" data-mime=\"image/png\" data-ratio=\"4.108974358974359\" data-src-m=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6545269/m/ac30ad4ed8a8e5508ab376835ff803d7.jpg\" data-width=\"641\" src=\"https://cimg.cnyes.cool/prod/news/6545269/l/ac30ad4ed8a8e5508ab376835ff803d7.jpg\"></figure>\n\n〈优质个股消化均线反压，震荡中重新寻找布局价值〉\n\nABF 载板指标厂欣兴 (3037-TW)，昨天已提醒股价正在面对月均线压力，今天短线未能顺利站稳，因此出现拉回整理，不过从人工智慧伺服器、高阶 ABF 载板需求，以及中长线评价角度来看，目前位阶已逐步具备分批逢低布局的投资价值。散热模组指标厂奇𬭎(3017-TW) 早盘一度展现逆势抗跌气势，后续仍受到大盘走低拖累而回档，技术面上正在消化季线反压，光通讯指标厂华星光 (4979-TW) 盘中一度触及涨停，之后因短线筹码换手而收敛涨幅，先前融资维持率已降至相对低档，筹码历经清洗，后续只要产业趋势延续，股价修复弹性仍值得持续追踪。\n\n多头中长线发展并未熄灭，但现在不是盲目追价的阶段，而是重新检查持股、等待支撑、保留资金弹性的时候，震荡整理结束之后，真正具有产业成长、基本面支撑与筹码优势的族群，才有机会率先走出下一段波段行情，邀请投资人下载【陈智霖分析师 APP】，即时资讯都会在 APP 内第一时间分享，带你用数据掌握节奏，每周也会更新信用筹码疑虑名单，帮你避开风险、锁定机会。\n\n \n\n最新影音 (请点影音上方标题至 Youtube 收视品质会更佳)\n\n<div class=\"youtube-embed-wrapper\" style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;padding-top:30px;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><iframe allowfullscreen=\"\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"360\" src=\"//www.youtube.com/embed/TCXOsjXXgvk\" style=\"position: absolute;top: 0;left: 0;width: 100%;height: 100%;\" width=\"640\"></iframe></div>\n\n \n\n〈立即填表体验咨询陈智霖分析师会员服务〉\n\n忠实粉丝请先完成填表申请，每周限时开放体验精选操作名单、盘中到价盘中通知与即时策略更新，面对震荡行情，理性分析与数据判断是关键，立即填表跟上专业：<a href=\"https://lihi.cc/RFzlE\">https://lihi.cc/RFzlE</a>\n\n钱进热线 02-2653-8299，立即迈向系统依据的股票操作。\n\n文章来源：陈智霖分析师 / 凯旭投顾\n\n本公司所推荐分析之个别有价证券 \n无不当之财务利益关系以往之绩效不保证未来获利 \n投资人应独立判断审慎评估并自负投资风险\n<div class=\"related-articles seo-links\">\n <h4>相关阅读</h4>\n <ul>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-16965.html\" title=\"讯芯-KY(6451)量产即放量？51.2T CPO 点火却未爆发的背后真相！\">讯芯-KY(6451)量产即放量？51.2T CPO 点火却未爆发的背后真相！</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-11706.html\" title=\"野村投信最新台股看法--【台股操盘人笔记】油价震荡往下，AI需求带领台湾供应链获利向上\">野村投信最新台股看法--【台股操盘人笔记】油价震荡往下，AI需求带领台湾供应链获利向上</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-14165.html\" title=\"营收速报 - 捷敏-KY(6525)8月营收6.09亿元年增率高达30.53％\">营收速报 - 捷敏-KY(6525)8月营收6.09亿元年增率高达30.53％</a></li>\n <li><a href=\"/new/tw/article-12002.html\" 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